Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Colorado State β but Boise State won instead.

Spread: Boise State (-17.5)
Resolved Boise State. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Colorado State. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
6
Colorado State 33%
$584.21
$-1.9K
Smart Money Signal
2 of 6 top traders (33%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SN SnakeBall | Boise Stateavg 47.2Β’ | $110.31 | $233.58 | +$123.27 | 51% 38648-37820 (76468) |
MA MadridTime | Boise Stateavg 47.7Β’ | $95.49 | $200 | +$104.51 | 48% 1776-1912 (3688) |
LI LightParadox | Boise Stateavg 44.7Β’ | $59.11 | $132.11 | +$73.01 | 49% 1800-1902 (3702) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Boise Stateavg 46Β’ | $8.52 | $18.52 | +$10 | 48% 63191-68207 (131398) |
0X 0xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186CTR | Colorado Stateavg 56.7Β’ | $2.2K | β | $-2.2K | 47% 535-611 (1146) |
HO HomeRunHazardCTR<$100 | Colorado Stateavg 54.7Β’ | $2.8 | β | -$2.8 | 54% 18557-15589 (34146) |
Invested
$110.31
Value
$233.58
PnL
+$123.27
Record
51%
38648-37820 (76468)
Invested
$95.49
Value
$200
PnL
+$104.51
Record
48%
1776-1912 (3688)
Invested
$59.11
Value
$132.11
PnL
+$73.01
Record
49%
1800-1902 (3702)
Invested
$8.52
Value
$18.52
PnL
+$10
Record
48%
63191-68207 (131398)
Invested
$2,244.85
Value
β
PnL
$-2.2K
Record
47%
535-611 (1146)
Invested
$2.8
Value
β
PnL
-$2.8
Record
54%
18557-15589 (34146)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
SnakeBall
Boise State β $233.58
MadridTime
Boise State β $200
LightParadox
Boise State β $132.11
38791873984189
Boise State β $18.52
0xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186
CTRColorado State β $0
HomeRunHazard
CTRColorado State β $0