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Arizona StateArizona StateUCFUCFArizona State
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Arizona State — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Arizona State
Spread: UCF (-13.5)
Resolved Arizona State. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Arizona State. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Arizona State 50%
Total Value
$245
Combined PnL
-$1.25
Smart Money Signal
Arizona State
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
UCF0%
Arizona State100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Arizona State3 traders
Total Value$245
Total Shares245
Combined PnL+$58.8
UCF2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares250
Combined PnL-$60.05
Arizona State — 60%UCF — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
65 6512395314597884 | Arizona Stateavg 76¢ | $152 | $200 | +$48 | 50% 3954-3949 (7903) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Arizona Stateavg 76¢ | $34.2 | $45 | +$10.8 | 50% 1827-1860 (3687) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | UCFavg 24¢ | $58.8 | — | -$58.8 | 38% 1183-1919 (3102) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | UCFavg 25¢ | $1.25 | — | -$1.25 | 37% 1153-1939 (3092) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Arizona Stateavg 50¢ | $171 | — | +$0 | 65% 140-74 (214) |
65
6512395314597884Invested
$152
Value
$200
PnL
+$48
Record
50%
3954-3949 (7903)
PA
Pan9X<$100Invested
$34.2
Value
$45
PnL
+$10.8
Record
50%
1827-1860 (3687)
MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100Invested
$58.8
Value
—
PnL
-$58.8
Record
38%
1183-1919 (3102)
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$1.25
Value
—
PnL
-$1.25
Record
37%
1153-1939 (3092)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesInvested
$171
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
140-74 (214)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1814dbe8...852be9
Slug
cfb-arzst-ucf-2026-11-14-spread-home-13pt5