Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Arizona vs. Texas Tech: O/U 53.5
Resolved Over. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
10
Under 50%
$54
-$172.35
Smart Money Signal
5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BA banepirCTR | Underavg 46¢ | $197.8 | — | -$197.8 | 49% 449-465 (914) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Overavg 53.4¢ | $28.81 | $54 | +$25.19 | 49% 8081-8480 (16561) |
HO HomeRunHazard<$100 | Overavg 54¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 17179-14402 (31581) |
 RN1CTR<$100 | Underavg 43¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 56681-48879 (105560) |
TA takeormake<$100 | Overavg 55.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 4137-3598 (7735) |
JU justaluckydudeCTR<$100 | Underavg 28¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 10788-9397 (20185) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Underavg 17¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13860-10628 (24488) |
US User7429<$100 | Overavg 79.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 8315-6706 (15021) |
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100 | Overavg 54¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 28788-21225 (50013) |
 VeryLucky888CTR | Underavg 46¢ | $134.78 | — | +$0.26 | 58% 42027-30514 (72541) |
Invested
$197.8
Value
—
PnL
-$197.8
Record
49%
449-465 (914)
Invested
$28.81
Value
$54
PnL
+$25.19
Record
49%
8081-8480 (16561)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
17179-14402 (31581)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
56681-48879 (105560)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
4137-3598 (7735)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
10788-9397 (20185)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13860-10628 (24488)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
8315-6706 (15021)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
28788-21225 (50013)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$134.78
Value
—
PnL
+$0.26
Record
58%
42027-30514 (72541)
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