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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Marshall — but Appalachian State won instead.
Spread: Appalachian State (-3.5)
Resolved Appalachian State. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Marshall. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
Marshall 60%
Total Value
$1.8K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Marshall
5 of 9 top traders (60%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Appalachian State100%
Marshall0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x09574535...329d77
Slug
cfb-applst-marsh-2026-11-14-spread-away-3pt5