Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Alabama vs. LSU: O/U 52.5
Resolved Under. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
6
Under 40%
1 arb excluded
$9.3K
$1.3K
Smart Money Signal
3 of 6 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 nigiri99 | Underavg 50.8¢ | $4.3K | $8.4K | +$4.2K | 46% 8770-10463 (19233) |
HO HomeRunHazardCTR | Overavg 50¢ | $2.8K | — | $-2.7K | 54% 18479-15550 (34029) |
38 38791873984189ARB<$100 | Overavg 50¢ | $933.62 | $759.3 | -$104.32 | 48% 63191-68207 (131398) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 50¢ | $499 | — | -$499 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 48.2¢ | $365.89 | $759.3 | +$394.68 | |
EN End123CTR | Overavg 52.7¢ | $253.72 | — | -$253.72 | 63% 309-179 (488) |
NM NM-P | Underavg 49¢ | $95.08 | $194.04 | +$98.96 | 64% 10183-5729 (15912) |
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR<$100 | Overavg 51¢ | $21.96 | — | -$21.96 | 51% 2062-2000 (4062) |
 VeryLucky888<$100 | Underavg 49¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 47503-34297 (81800) |
nigiri99Invested
$4,251.33
Value
$8.4K
PnL
+$4.2K
Record
46%
8770-10463 (19233)
Invested
$2,816.76
Value
—
PnL
$-2.7K
Record
54%
18479-15550 (34029)
Invested
$933.62
Value
$759.3
PnL
-$104.32
Record
48%
63191-68207 (131398)
Both legs:
Invested
$253.72
Value
—
PnL
-$253.72
Record
63%
309-179 (488)
Invested
$95.08
Value
$194.04
PnL
+$98.96
Record
64%
10183-5729 (15912)
Invested
$21.96
Value
—
PnL
-$21.96
Record
51%
2062-2000 (4062)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
47503-34297 (81800)