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tradecraft<$100Yes
poshposhCTR<$100NoNo
RN1CTR<$100NoYes
HRTrading<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Real Ávila CF vs. Unionistas de Salamanca CF end in a draw?
Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 50%
Total Value
$83.37
Combined PnL
$1.1
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$83.37
Total Shares83
Combined PnL+$7.5
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares63
Combined PnL-$6.4
Yes — 50%No — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
tradecraft<$100 | Yesavg 91¢ | $83.37 | $83.37 | +$7.5 | 51% 5938-5623 (11561) |
poshposhCTR<$100 | Noavg 10.2¢ | $6.4 | — | -$6.4 | 59% 9732-6717 (16449) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Noavg 71¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45158-31551 (76709) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Noavg 58¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 56079-48206 (104285) |
OM omnibus-076daa<$100 | Yesavg 90.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 18867-19279 (38146) |
HRTrading<$100 | Yesavg 46.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 3772-3441 (7213) |
tradecraft<$100Invested
$83.37
Value
$83.37
PnL
+$7.5
Record
51%
5938-5623 (11561)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$6.4
Value
—
PnL
-$6.4
Record
59%
9732-6717 (16449)
UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45158-31551 (76709)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
56079-48206 (104285)
OM
omnibus-076daa<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
18867-19279 (38146)
HRTrading<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
3772-3441 (7213)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb5afe7fb...f1363a
Slug
cdr-rea-uni-2026-10-29-draw