Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Sevilla FC — but AD Sporting Hortaleza won instead.

Spread: Sevilla FC (-4.5)

Resolved AD Sporting Hortaleza. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Sevilla FC. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Sevilla FC 67%

Total Value

$25.01

Combined PnL

-$392.26

Sevilla FC

2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Sevilla FC0%

AD Sporting Hortaleza100%

AD Sporting Hortaleza3 traders

Total Value$25.01

Total Shares25

Combined PnL+$31.87

Sevilla FC2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares811

Combined PnL-$424.13

AD Sporting Hortaleza — 60%Sevilla FC — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xbCa82fF9891c5358b33D565C4F4739e4d812b680-1779481574004<$100	AD Sporting Hortalezaavg 55¢	$55	$25	+$21	56% 148-115 (263)
VeryLucky888	AD Sporting Hortalezaavg 45.7¢	$214.4	$0.01	+$7.12	58% 41344-29975 (71319)
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100	Sevilla FCavg 45¢	$45	—	-$45	59% 45216-31591 (76807)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR	Sevilla FCavg 53.3¢	$379.13	—	-$379.13	49% 18884-19303 (38187)
HRTrading<$100	AD Sporting Hortalezaavg 52.3¢	$4.11	—	+$3.75	52% 3834-3490 (7324)