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VeryLucky888<$100Under
RN1CTR<$100OverOverOver
HRTrading<$100Under
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
AD Sporting Hortaleza vs. Sevilla FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5
Resolved Under. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$10.94
Smart Money Signal
Over
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$1.33
Over3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares50
Combined PnL-$12.26
Under — 40%Over — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VeryLucky888<$100 | Underavg 54¢ | $5.99 | $0 | +$0.67 | 58% 41344-29975 (71319) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Overavg 12¢ | $2.7 | — | -$2.7 | 54% 56110-48247 (104357) |
0X 0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3CTR<$100 | Overavg 33¢ | $9.23 | — | +$1.07 | 50% 2488-2472 (4960) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 38¢ | $10.63 | — | -$10.63 | 49% 12457-12793 (25250) |
HRTrading<$100 | Underavg 67¢ | $1.34 | — | +$0.66 | 52% 3834-3490 (7324) |
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$5.99
Value
$0
PnL
+$0.67
Record
58%
41344-29975 (71319)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$2.7
Value
—
PnL
-$2.7
Record
54%
56110-48247 (104357)
0X
0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3CTR<$100Invested
$9.23
Value
—
PnL
+$1.07
Record
50%
2488-2472 (4960)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$10.63
Value
—
PnL
-$10.63
Record
49%
12457-12793 (25250)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$1.34
Value
—
PnL
+$0.66
Record
52%
3834-3490 (7324)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x83eb8ef0...acf3a8
Slug
cdr-hor-sev-2026-10-29-first-half-total-2pt5