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No
RN1CTRYesYesYesYes
HRTradingCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
AD Sporting Hortaleza vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score
Resolved No. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 83%
Total Value
$10.6
Combined PnL
-$220.1
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No1 trader
Total Value$10.6
Total Shares11
Combined PnL+$2.16
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,109
Combined PnL-$222.26
No — 17%Yes — 83%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Noavg 65¢ | $8.44 | $10.6 | +$2.16 | 59% 45216-31591 (76807) |
RN1CTR | Yesavg 18¢ | $145.03 | — | -$145.03 | 54% 56110-48247 (104357) |
LO lonmi2511CTR<$100 | Yesavg 18¢ | $1.08 | — | -$1.08 | 62% 1121-673 (1794) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Yesavg 31.1¢ | $40.14 | — | -$40.14 | 49% 12457-12793 (25250) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Yesavg 24¢ | $36.72 | — | -$36.72 | 58% 28294-20870 (49164) |
HRTradingCTR<$100 | Yesavg 28.7¢ | $18.55 | — | +$0.71 | 52% 3834-3490 (7324) |
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
$8.44
Value
$10.6
PnL
+$2.16
Record
59%
45216-31591 (76807)
RN1CTRInvested
$145.03
Value
—
PnL
-$145.03
Record
54%
56110-48247 (104357)
LO
lonmi2511CTR<$100Invested
$1.08
Value
—
PnL
-$1.08
Record
62%
1121-673 (1794)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$40.14
Value
—
PnL
-$40.14
Record
49%
12457-12793 (25250)
LE
LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100Invested
$36.72
Value
—
PnL
-$36.72
Record
58%
28294-20870 (49164)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$18.55
Value
—
PnL
+$0.71
Record
52%
3834-3490 (7324)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5da2f39b...0c3d46
Slug
cdr-hor-sev-2026-10-29-btts