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OverUnder
RN1CTR<$100UnderUnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
CD Cieza vs. Granada CF: O/U 2.5
Resolved Over. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 80%
Total Value
$195.79
Combined PnL
-$37.84
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over1 trader
Total Value$195.79
Total Shares196
Combined PnL+$88.27
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares267
Combined PnL-$126.11
Over — 20%Under — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Overavg 42.4¢ | $107.51 | $195.79 | +$88.27 | 50% 24720-24419 (49139) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Underavg 49¢ | $10.06 | — | -$10.06 | 59% 45158-31551 (76709) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Underavg 55.9¢ | $14.8 | — | -$14.8 | 54% 56079-48206 (104285) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR | Underavg 46¢ | $214.9 | — | -$98.85 | 49% 674-698 (1372) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Underavg 48¢ | $2.4 | — | -$2.4 | 49% 12438-12760 (25198) |
GO
GoalLineGhostInvested
$107.51
Value
$195.79
PnL
+$88.27
Record
50%
24720-24419 (49139)
UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100Invested
$10.06
Value
—
PnL
-$10.06
Record
59%
45158-31551 (76709)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$14.8
Value
—
PnL
-$14.8
Record
54%
56079-48206 (104285)
KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTRInvested
$214.9
Value
—
PnL
-$98.85
Record
49%
674-698 (1372)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$2.4
Value
—
PnL
-$2.4
Record
49%
12438-12760 (25198)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0416cde1...7edeae
Slug
cdr-cdc-gra-2026-10-28-total-2pt5