Spread: Córdoba CF (-1.5)

4 of 8 top Polymarket traders hold CD Atlético Paso (50%) · CD Atlético Paso at 81¢ · $2K held · ended Oct 27

Córdoba CF20¢CD Atlético Paso80¢Ended Tue, Oct 27, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

CD Atlético Paso

Consensus Traders

CD Atlético Paso 50%

Total Value

$2.4K

Combined PnL

$0.62

Smart Money Entry

63.2¢ → 80.5¢

+27% since entry · 4 traders

Research grade

NeutralCD Atlético Paso at 81%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Spread or totalOct 22 backtest: spreads and totals −14.5 % a trade in spring (95 % CI −27 to −1), +1.5 % in October: no edge.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

CD Atlético Paso

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Córdoba CF20%

CD Atlético Paso81%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

CD Atlético Paso4 traders

Total Value$1.8K

Total Shares2,413

Combined PnL-$16.21

Córdoba CF4 traders

Total Value$574.91

Total Shares1,448

Combined PnL+$16.83

CD Atlético Paso — 50%Córdoba CF — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
OM omnibus-076daa	CD Atlético Pasoavg 62.8¢	$1.0K	$1.0K	-$12.55	49% 18442-18863 (37305)
GO GoalLineGhost	CD Atlético Pasoavg 64.5¢	$732.81	$726.01	-$6.8	50% 24148-23764 (47912)
0X 0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542CTR	Córdoba CFavg 37¢	$370	$380	+$10	47% 2378-2648 (5026)
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR	Córdoba CFavg 36.6¢	$133.44	$138.7	+$5.26	58% 27884-20523 (48407)
UP UpTheBlues<$100	CD Atlético Pasoavg 61.1¢	$56.92	$59.54	+$2.62	59% 44322-30683 (75005)
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100	Córdoba CFavg 38¢	$53	$51.4	-$1.6	50% 32622-32156 (64778)
poshposhCTR<$100	Córdoba CFavg 13¢	$1.65	$4.81	+$3.17	60% 9138-6084 (15222)
HRTrading<$100	CD Atlético Pasoavg 55¢	$3.86	$4.38	+$0.52	54% 2639-2268 (4907)

omnibus-076daa

CD Atlético Paso

Invested

$1,021.25

Value

$1.0K

PnL

-$12.55

Record

49%

18442-18863 (37305)

GoalLineGhost

CD Atlético Paso

Invested

$732.81

Value

$726.01

PnL

-$6.8

Record

50%

24148-23764 (47912)

0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542CTR

Córdoba CF

Invested

$370

Value

$380

PnL

+$10

Record

47%

2378-2648 (5026)

LeLynxMalynxCTR

Córdoba CF

Invested

$133.44

Value

$138.7

PnL

+$5.26

Record

58%

27884-20523 (48407)

UpTheBlues<$100

CD Atlético Paso

Invested

$56.92

Value

$59.54

PnL

+$2.62

Record

59%

44322-30683 (75005)

SnakeBallCTR<$100

Córdoba CF

Invested

$53

Value

$51.4

PnL

-$1.6

Record

50%

32622-32156 (64778)

poshposhCTR<$100

Córdoba CF

Invested

$1.65

Value

$4.81

PnL

+$3.17

Record

60%

9138-6084 (15222)

HRTrading<$100

CD Atlético Paso

Invested

$3.86

Value

$4.38

PnL

+$0.52

Record

54%

2639-2268 (4907)

Research grade

NeutralCD Atlético Paso at 81%

Spread or totalOct 22 backtest: spreads and totals −14.5 % a trade in spring (95 % CI −27 to −1), +1.5 % in October: no edge.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

CD Atlético Paso

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that CD Atlético Paso wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance82.3%

80.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.8¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$21.57

Max Loss

-$100.00

121.6

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.