Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was William & Mary Tribe — but Michigan Wolverines won instead.

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-28.5)

Resolved Michigan Wolverines. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held William & Mary Tribe. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

William & Mary Tribe 50%

Total Value

$71.51

Combined PnL

-$174.54

William & Mary Tribe

2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Michigan Wolverines100%

William & Mary Tribe0%

Michigan Wolverines3 traders

Total Value$71.51

Total Shares72

Combined PnL+$40.07

William & Mary Tribe2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares380

Combined PnL-$214.61

Michigan Wolverines — 60%William & Mary Tribe — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
VeryLucky888<$100	Michigan Wolverinesavg 42¢	$84.08	$61.51	+$34.67	54% 2045-1764 (3809)
AM ameisgoat11<$100	Michigan Wolverinesavg 46¢	$4.6	$10	+$5.4	43% 878-1159 (2037)
HO HomeRunHazardCTR	William & Mary Tribeavg 56.3¢	$193.44	—	-$193.44	56% 3959-3128 (7087)
NA NatoAlfistaCTR<$100	William & Mary Tribeavg 58¢	$21.17	—	-$21.17	43% 257-336 (593)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles	Michigan Wolverinesavg 50¢	$400	—	+$0	63% 152-88 (240)