Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was William & Mary Tribe — but Michigan Wolverines won instead.

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-27.5)

Resolved Michigan Wolverines. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held William & Mary Tribe. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

William & Mary Tribe 50%

Total Value

$3.4K

Combined PnL

-$464.72

William & Mary Tribe

3 of 7 top traders (43%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Michigan Wolverines100%

William & Mary Tribe0%

Michigan Wolverines4 traders

Total Value$3.4K

Total Shares3,421

Combined PnL+$1.8K

William & Mary Tribe3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares4,115

Combined PnL$-2.3K

Michigan Wolverines — 57%William & Mary Tribe — 43%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HI hi774c	Michigan Wolverinesavg 46¢	$1.5K	$3.2K	+$1.7K	26% 255-710 (965)
HO HomeRunHazardCTR	William & Mary Tribeavg 52¢	$436.22	—	-$436.22	56% 3959-3128 (7087)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles	Michigan Wolverinesavg 50¢	$450	$200	+$101.9	63% 152-88 (240)
AM ameisgoat11<$100	Michigan Wolverinesavg 49¢	$2.45	$5	+$2.55	43% 878-1159 (2037)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR	William & Mary Tribeavg 54¢	$1.9K	—	$-1.9K	49% 2930-3029 (5959)
0X 0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksCTR<$100	William & Mary Tribeavg 55¢	$6.05	—	-$6.05	52% 432-402 (834)
VeryLucky888<$100	Michigan Wolverinesavg 46.5¢	$93	—	-$3	54% 2045-1764 (3809)