West Georgia Wolves vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers

2 of 8 top Polymarket traders hold Charleston Southern Buccaneers (25%) · Charleston Southern Buccaneers at 63¢ · $1K held · ends Nov 15

West Georgia Wolves38¢Charleston Southern Buccaneers62¢Ends Sun, Nov 15, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

Charleston Southern Buccaneers

Consensus Traders

Charleston Southern Buccaneers 25%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

-$0.37

Smart Money Entry

64.6¢ → 62.5¢

-3% since entry · 2 traders

Research grade

AvoidCharleston Southern Buccaneers at 63%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Charleston Southern Buccaneers

2 of 8 top traders (25%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

West Georgia Wolves38%

Charleston Southern Buccaneers63%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Charleston Southern Buccaneers2 traders

Total Value$640.96

Total Shares1,009

Combined PnL-$10.98

West Georgia Wolves6 traders

Total Value$331.75

Total Shares904

Combined PnL+$10.61

Charleston Southern Buccaneers — 25%West Georgia Wolves — 75%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

2 traders

Top 2 hold 100%

Freshness

Fresh

5h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

33% of non-arb traders are on Charleston Southern Buccaneers. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 100% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleCharleston Southern Buccaneers 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrWest Georgia Wolves 80% · 5

Diverging

Hand-pickedWest Georgia Wolves 100% · 1

Diverging

Top 1000West Georgia Wolves 60% · 5

Diverging

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
nigiri99	Charleston Southern Buccaneersavg 64.3¢	$503.04	$488.75	-$14.29	51% 579-546 (1125)
HO HomeRunHazard	Charleston Southern Buccaneersavg 65.5¢	$148.9	$152.21	+$3.31	56% 3699-2861 (6560)
SN SnakeBallCTR	West Georgia Wolvesavg 37¢	$124.32	$124.32	+$0	47% 974-1105 (2079)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesARB<$100	West Georgia Wolvesavg 50¢	$1.4K	$116	-$2	69% 136-62 (198)
└ West Georgia Wolves leg	West Georgia Wolvesavg 50¢	$125	$82.5	-$42.5
└ Charleston Southern Buccaneers leg	Charleston Southern Buccaneersavg 50¢	$25	$33.5	+$40.5
0xheavy888CTR<$100	West Georgia Wolvesavg 34.1¢	$87.77	$96.44	+$8.67	55% 522-427 (949)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100	West Georgia Wolvesavg 35.5¢	$71	$74	+$3	54% 1497-1295 (2792)
NA NatoAlfistaCTR<$100	West Georgia Wolvesavg 35¢	$19.39	$18.84	-$0.55	43% 190-253 (443)
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100	West Georgia Wolvesavg 34¢	$17	$16.5	-$0.5	38% 1068-1766 (2834)
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100	West Georgia Wolvesavg 33¢	$1.65	$1.65	+$0	41% 706-1015 (1721)

nigiri99

Charleston Southern Buccaneers

Invested

$503.04

Value

$488.75

PnL

-$14.29

Record

51%

579-546 (1125)

HomeRunHazard

Charleston Southern Buccaneers

Invested

$148.9

Value

$152.21

PnL

+$3.31

Record

56%

3699-2861 (6560)

SnakeBallCTR

West Georgia Wolves

Invested

$124.32

Value

$124.32

PnL

+$0

Record

47%

974-1105 (2079)

overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesARB<$100

West Georgia Wolves

Invested

$1,450

Value

$116

PnL

-$2

Record

69%

136-62 (198)

Both legs:

West Georgia Wolves$12550¢-$42.5

Charleston Southern Buccaneers$2550¢+$40.5

0xheavy888CTR<$100

West Georgia Wolves

Invested

$87.77

Value

$96.44

PnL

+$8.67

Record

55%

522-427 (949)

VeryLucky888CTR<$100

West Georgia Wolves

Invested

$71

Value

$74

PnL

+$3

Record

54%

1497-1295 (2792)

NatoAlfistaCTR<$100

West Georgia Wolves

Invested

$19.39

Value

$18.84

PnL

-$0.55

Record

43%

190-253 (443)

MadridTimeCTR<$100

West Georgia Wolves

Invested

$17

Value

$16.5

PnL

-$0.5

Record

38%

1068-1766 (2834)

ameisgoat11CTR<$100

West Georgia Wolves

Invested

$1.65

Value

$1.65

PnL

+$0

Record

41%

706-1015 (1721)

Research grade

AvoidCharleston Southern Buccaneers at 63%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Charleston Southern Buccaneers

2 of 8 top traders (25%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

2 traders

Top 2 hold 100%

Freshness

Fresh

5h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

33% of non-arb traders are on Charleston Southern Buccaneers. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 100% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleCharleston Southern Buccaneers 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrWest Georgia Wolves 80% · 5

Diverging

Hand-pickedWest Georgia Wolves 100% · 1

Diverging

Top 1000West Georgia Wolves 60% · 5

Diverging

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Charleston Southern Buccaneers wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance64.7%

62.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$54.66

Max Loss

-$100.00

154.7

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.