Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.

Temple Owls vs. La Salle Explorers: O/U 151.5
Resolved Over. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
8
Under 57%
$1.5K
-$122.58
Smart Money Signal
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazardCTR | Underavg 49Β’ | $549.09 | β | -$549.09 | 56% 3959-3128 (7087) |
TO tomb2456 | Overavg 56Β’ | $448 | $799.99 | +$352 | 56% 54-42 (96) |
![]() 0xheavy888 | Overavg 51Β’ | $339.66 | $666 | +$326.34 | 56% 710-561 (1271) |
FO Forecastication2CTR | Underavg 44Β’ | $245.96 | β | -$245.96 | 44% 360-455 (815) |
0X 0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksCTR<$100 | Underavg 50Β’ | $9.5 | β | -$9.5 | 52% 432-402 (834) |
![]() VeryLucky888<$100 | Overavg 50Β’ | $5.94 | $11.88 | +$5.94 | 54% 2045-1764 (3809) |
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100 | Underavg 46Β’ | $2.3 | β | -$2.3 | 43% 878-1159 (2037) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Overavg 50Β’ | $200 | β | +$0 | 63% 152-88 (240) |
Invested
$549.09
Value
β
PnL
-$549.09
Record
56%
3959-3128 (7087)
Invested
$448
Value
$799.99
PnL
+$352
Record
56%
54-42 (96)
0xheavy888Invested
$339.66
Value
$666
PnL
+$326.34
Record
56%
710-561 (1271)
Invested
$245.96
Value
β
PnL
-$245.96
Record
44%
360-455 (815)
Invested
$9.5
Value
β
PnL
-$9.5
Record
52%
432-402 (834)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$5.94
Value
$11.88
PnL
+$5.94
Record
54%
2045-1764 (3809)
Invested
$2.3
Value
β
PnL
-$2.3
Record
43%
878-1159 (2037)
Invested
$200
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
152-88 (240)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
HomeRunHazard
CTRUnder β $0
tomb2456
Over β $799.99

0xheavy888
Over β $666
Forecastication2
CTRUnder β $0
0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks
CTRUnder β $0

VeryLucky888
Over β $11.88
ameisgoat11
CTRUnder β $0
overtimemarkets.xyz-singles
Over β $0