Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks — but Rice Owls won instead.

Spread: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (-10.5)

Resolved Rice Owls. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 60%

Total Value

$21.08

Combined PnL

-$189.02

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks0%

Rice Owls100%

Rice Owls3 traders

Total Value$21.08

Total Shares21

Combined PnL+$7.63

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares410

Combined PnL-$196.65

Rice Owls — 50%Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO HomeRunHazard<$100	Rice Owlsavg 52.6¢	$10.65	$16.08	+$5.43	56% 3718-2886 (6604)
OM omnibus-076daa<$100	Rice Owlsavg 56¢	$2.8	$5	+$2.2	46% 526-624 (1150)
BO BoomLaLaCTR	Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacksavg 48¢	$192	—	-$192	35% 166-306 (472)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100	Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacksavg 45¢	$2.45	—	-$2.45	54% 1525-1316 (2841)
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100	Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacksavg 44¢	$2.2	—	-$2.2	41% 708-1019 (1727)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles	Rice Owlsavg 50¢	$200	—	+$0	68% 136-63 (199)