Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.

Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devils: O/U 135.5
Resolved Over. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
7
Under 40%
$195.39
-$168.88
Smart Money Signal
2 of 7 top traders (29%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BA Bagwell306CTR | Underavg 42Β’ | $209.99 | β | -$209.99 | 38% 98-163 (261) |
SH shiifoo<$100 | Overavg 58Β’ | $56.64 | $97.66 | +$41.02 | 60% 1475-976 (2451) |
MA MarquisDeMott<$100 | Overavg 99.1Β’ | $76.31 | $77 | +$0.69 | 94% 154-9 (163) |
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100 | Overavg 99Β’ | $20.21 | $20.41 | +$0.2 | 98% 691-11 (702) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100 | Underavg 46Β’ | $0.94 | β | -$0.94 | 49% 2896-2959 (5855) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100 | Overavg 58Β’ | $0.19 | $0.32 | +$0.13 | 42% 762-1074 (1836) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Overavg 50Β’ | $400 | β | +$0 | 63% 147-86 (233) |
Invested
$209.99
Value
β
PnL
-$209.99
Record
38%
98-163 (261)
Invested
$56.64
Value
$97.66
PnL
+$41.02
Record
60%
1475-976 (2451)
Invested
$76.31
Value
$77
PnL
+$0.69
Record
94%
154-9 (163)
Invested
$20.21
Value
$20.41
PnL
+$0.2
Record
98%
691-11 (702)
Invested
$0.94
Value
β
PnL
-$0.94
Record
49%
2896-2959 (5855)
Invested
$0.19
Value
$0.32
PnL
+$0.13
Record
42%
762-1074 (1836)
Invested
$400
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
147-86 (233)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Bagwell306
CTRUnder β $0
shiifoo
Over β $97.66
MarquisDeMott
Over β $77
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105
Over β $20.41
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
CTRUnder β $0
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
Over β $0.32
overtimemarkets.xyz-singles
Over β $0