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OverUnderOverOverUnder Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Over β but Under won instead.

NJIT Highlanders vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 141.5
Resolved Under. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 75%
Total Value
$5
Combined PnL
$-2.2K
Smart Money Signal
Over
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares4,370
Combined PnL$-2.2K
Under2 traders
Total Value$5
Total Shares5
Combined PnL+$2.45
Over β 60%Under β 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazardCTR | Overavg 49.5Β’ | $1.9K | β | $-1.9K | 56% 3811-2982 (6793) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Underavg 51Β’ | $2.55 | $5 | +$2.45 | 42% 775-1070 (1845) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Overavg 49.5Β’ | $259.38 | β | -$259.38 | 48% 3662-4031 (7693) |
0X 0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksCTR<$100 | Overavg 50.2Β’ | $32.66 | β | -$32.66 | 52% 365-331 (696) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Underavg 50Β’ | $400 | β | +$0 | 66% 141-74 (215) |
HO
HomeRunHazardCTRInvested
$1,878.41
Value
β
PnL
$-1.9K
Record
56%
3811-2982 (6793)
AM
ameisgoat11<$100Invested
$2.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.45
Record
42%
775-1070 (1845)
38
38791873984189CTRInvested
$259.38
Value
β
PnL
-$259.38
Record
48%
3662-4031 (7693)
0X
0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksCTR<$100Invested
$32.66
Value
β
PnL
-$32.66
Record
52%
365-331 (696)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesInvested
$400
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
141-74 (215)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x84e396b0...febd52
Slug
cbb-njit-fair-2026-11-14-total-141pt5