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OverUnderUnderUnderUnder Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Over β but Under won instead.

Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. Massachusetts Minutemen: O/U 149.5
Resolved Under. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 25%
Total Value
$136.05
Combined PnL
-$67.8
Smart Money Signal
Over
1 of 5 top traders (20%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares269
Combined PnL-$143.79
Under4 traders
Total Value$136.05
Total Shares136
Combined PnL+$75.99
Over β 20%Under β 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazardCTR | Overavg 53.5Β’ | $143.79 | β | -$143.79 | 57% 3276-2473 (5749) |
38 38791873984189 | Underavg 44Β’ | $51.04 | $116 | +$64.96 | 47% 1681-1866 (3547) |
FO forecastication4<$100 | Underavg 45Β’ | $4.52 | $10.05 | +$5.53 | 21% 63-235 (298) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Underavg 45Β’ | $4.5 | $10 | +$5.5 | 35% 376-688 (1064) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Underavg 50Β’ | $391 | β | +$0 | 100% 71-0 (71) |
HO
HomeRunHazardCTRInvested
$143.79
Value
β
PnL
-$143.79
Record
57%
3276-2473 (5749)
38
38791873984189Invested
$51.04
Value
$116
PnL
+$64.96
Record
47%
1681-1866 (3547)
FO
forecastication4<$100Invested
$4.52
Value
$10.05
PnL
+$5.53
Record
21%
63-235 (298)
AM
ameisgoat11<$100Invested
$4.5
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.5
Record
35%
376-688 (1064)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesInvested
$391
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
100%
71-0 (71)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x202a6db5...b0df8b
Slug
cbb-maslow-umass-2026-11-11-total-149pt5