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UnderUnderUnder
poshposhCTR<$100OverOver
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Youngstown State Penguins: O/U 159.5
Resolved Under. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Under 75%
Total Value
$39.13
Combined PnL
$7.1
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$39.13
Total Shares39
Combined PnL+$8.48
Over2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares23
Combined PnL-$1.38
Under — 60%Over — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SM smithagent<$100 | Underavg 94¢ | $21.62 | $23 | +$1.38 | 45% 707-867 (1574) |
HO HomeRunHazard<$100 | Underavg 51.5¢ | $6.18 | $12 | +$5.82 | 56% 3699-2861 (6560) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Underavg 69¢ | $2.85 | $4.13 | +$1.28 | 48% 3305-3631 (6936) |
poshposhCTR<$100 | Overavg 6¢ | $1.38 | — | -$1.38 | 49% 1219-1281 (2500) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Overavg 50¢ | $1.8K | — | +$0 | 69% 136-62 (198) |
SM
smithagent<$100Invested
$21.62
Value
$23
PnL
+$1.38
Record
45%
707-867 (1574)
HO
HomeRunHazard<$100Invested
$6.18
Value
$12
PnL
+$5.82
Record
56%
3699-2861 (6560)
38
38791873984189<$100Invested
$2.85
Value
$4.13
PnL
+$1.28
Record
48%
3305-3631 (6936)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$1.38
Value
—
PnL
-$1.38
Record
49%
1219-1281 (2500)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTRInvested
$1,800
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
136-62 (198)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5a7dc3e6...c2386b
Slug
cbb-marsh-yngst-2026-11-14-total-159pt5