Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Youngstown State Penguins — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Youngstown State Penguins
Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Youngstown State Penguins
Resolved Youngstown State Penguins. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Youngstown State Penguins. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Youngstown State Penguins 83%
1 arb excluded
$1.3K
$224.76
Smart Money Signal
6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NO NotJumpARB<$100 | Youngstown State Penguinsavg 50¢ | $525 | $525 | -$0 | 52% 895-837 (1732) |
| └ Youngstown State Penguins leg | Youngstown State Penguinsavg 50¢ | $262.5 | $525 | +$262.5 | |
| └ Marshall Thundering Herd leg | Marshall Thundering Herdavg 50¢ | $262.5 | — | -$262.5 | |
 RN1 | Youngstown State Penguinsavg 40.2¢ | $320.28 | $444.7 | +$124.42 | 55% 5474-4481 (9955) |
TH thirdt1me | Youngstown State Penguinsavg 60.8¢ | $182.25 | $200 | +$68 | 48% 287-306 (593) |
38 38791873984189 | Youngstown State Penguinsavg 74.3¢ | $223.91 | $95.2 | +$9.59 | 48% 3305-3631 (6936) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Youngstown State Penguinsavg 72.2¢ | $64.62 | $40 | +$7.75 | 50% 1636-1654 (3290) |
BO BoomLaLa<$100 | Youngstown State Penguinsavg 56.2¢ | $20.67 | $36 | +$15.33 | 35% 163-305 (468) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Marshall Thundering Herdavg 6¢ | $0.33 | — | -$0.33 | 47% 974-1105 (2079) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Youngstown State Penguinsavg 50¢ | $2.2K | — | +$0 | 69% 136-62 (198) |
Invested
$525
Value
$525
PnL
-$0
Record
52%
895-837 (1732)
Both legs:
RN1Invested
$320.28
Value
$444.7
PnL
+$124.42
Record
55%
5474-4481 (9955)
Invested
$182.25
Value
$200
PnL
+$68
Record
48%
287-306 (593)
Invested
$223.91
Value
$95.2
PnL
+$9.59
Record
48%
3305-3631 (6936)
Invested
$64.62
Value
$40
PnL
+$7.75
Record
50%
1636-1654 (3290)
Invested
$20.67
Value
$36
PnL
+$15.33
Record
35%
163-305 (468)
Invested
$0.33
Value
—
PnL
-$0.33
Record
47%
974-1105 (2079)
Invested
$2,200
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
136-62 (198)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
NotJump
ARBArbitrage — excluded
RN1
Youngstown State Penguins — $444.7
thirdt1me
Youngstown State Penguins — $200
38791873984189
Youngstown State Penguins — $95.2
Pan9X
Youngstown State Penguins — $40
BoomLaLa
Youngstown State Penguins — $36
SnakeBall
CTRMarshall Thundering Herd — $0
overtimemarkets.xyz-singles
Youngstown State Penguins — $0