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Under
VeryLucky888OverUnderOverOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Nicholls Colonels: O/U 137.5
Resolved Over. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 50%
Total Value
$134.3
Combined PnL
-$155.12
Smart Money Signal
Under
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares349
Combined PnL-$229.79
Over3 traders
Total Value$134.3
Total Shares134
Combined PnL+$74.67
Under — 40%Over — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazardCTR | Underavg 55.1¢ | $222.51 | — | -$222.51 | 56% 3861-3029 (6890) |
VeryLucky888 | Overavg 44.3¢ | $52.88 | $119.3 | +$66.42 | 53% 1770-1556 (3326) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Underavg 50¢ | $7.28 | — | -$7.28 | 40% 678-998 (1676) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Overavg 45¢ | $6.75 | $15 | +$8.25 | 42% 810-1105 (1915) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Overavg 50¢ | $200 | — | +$0 | 65% 142-77 (219) |
HO
HomeRunHazardCTRInvested
$222.51
Value
—
PnL
-$222.51
Record
56%
3861-3029 (6890)
VeryLucky888Invested
$52.88
Value
$119.3
PnL
+$66.42
Record
53%
1770-1556 (3326)
0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100Invested
$7.28
Value
—
PnL
-$7.28
Record
40%
678-998 (1676)
AM
ameisgoat11<$100Invested
$6.75
Value
$15
PnL
+$8.25
Record
42%
810-1105 (1915)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesInvested
$200
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
142-77 (219)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe251cada...abbc5c
Slug
cbb-loutch-nichls-2026-11-14-total-137pt5