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OverOverOverUnderOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Nicholls Colonels: O/U 135.5
Resolved Over. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 25%
Total Value
$496.69
Combined PnL
-$100.46
Smart Money Signal
Under
1 of 5 top traders (20%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over4 traders
Total Value$496.69
Total Shares497
Combined PnL+$169.44
Under1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares529
Combined PnL-$269.9
Over — 80%Under — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazard | Overavg 49¢ | $314.84 | $481.63 | +$166.79 | 56% 3861-3029 (6890) |
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100 | Overavg 99¢ | $9.96 | $10.06 | +$0.1 | 99% 607-9 (616) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Overavg 49¢ | $2.45 | $5 | +$2.55 | 42% 810-1105 (1915) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR | Underavg 51¢ | $269.9 | — | -$269.9 | 46% 590-706 (1296) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Overavg 50¢ | $200 | — | +$0 | 65% 142-77 (219) |
HO
HomeRunHazardInvested
$314.84
Value
$481.63
PnL
+$166.79
Record
56%
3861-3029 (6890)
0X
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100Invested
$9.96
Value
$10.06
PnL
+$0.1
Record
99%
607-9 (616)
AM
ameisgoat11<$100Invested
$2.45
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.55
Record
42%
810-1105 (1915)
OM
omnibus-076daaCTRInvested
$269.9
Value
—
PnL
-$269.9
Record
46%
590-706 (1296)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesInvested
$200
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
142-77 (219)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x17567baa...ce96f0
Slug
cbb-loutch-nichls-2026-11-14-total-135pt5