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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Grand Canyon Antelopes: O/U 164.5

Resolved Under. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Over 38%

Total Value

$1.5K

Combined PnL

-$8.12

Smart Money Signal

Over

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Over0%
Under100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under5 traders
Total Value$1.5K
Total Shares1,450
Combined PnL+$692.74
Over5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,366
Combined PnL-$700.86
Under — 50%Over — 50%
HO
HomeRunHazard
Under

Invested

$601.44

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$518.43

Record

56%

3861-3029 (6890)

38
38791873984189
Under

Invested

$120.52

Value

$262

PnL

+$141.48

Record

48%

3772-4126 (7898)

FE
ferdinand2<$100
Under

Invested

$23.66

Value

$45.5

PnL

+$21.84

Record

48%

2431-2662 (5093)

0X
0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks<$100
Under

Invested

$9.36

Value

$18

PnL

+$8.64

Record

52%

382-349 (731)

AM
ameisgoat11<$100
Under

Invested

$2.65

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.35

Record

42%

810-1105 (1915)

0X
0x0c154c190E293B7e5F8D453b5F690C4dC9599A45-1775083003603CTR
Over

Invested

$447.66

Value

—

PnL

-$447.66

Record

60%

21-14 (35)

FO
forecastication4CTR
Over

Invested

$152.47

Value

—

PnL

-$152.47

Record

35%

195-357 (552)

BO
BoomLaLaCTR
Over

Invested

$100.73

Value

—

PnL

-$100.73

Record

38%

217-352 (569)

OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR
Over

Invested

$800

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

65%

142-77 (219)

VeryLucky888CTR<$100
Over

Invested

$48

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

1770-1556 (3326)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x36ff068e...83f50b
Slug
cbb-lamon-gcan-2026-11-14-total-164pt5

Traders in this Market

HO

HomeRunHazard

Under — $1.1K

+$518.43
38

38791873984189

Under — $262

+$141.48
FE

ferdinand2

Under — $45.5

+$21.84
0X

0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks

Under — $18

+$8.64
AM

ameisgoat11

Under — $5

+$2.35
0X

0x0c154c190E293B7e5F8D453b5F690C4dC9599A45-1775083003603

CTR

Over — $0

-$447.66
FO

forecastication4

CTR

Over — $0

-$152.47
BO

BoomLaLa

CTR

Over — $0

-$100.73
OV

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

CTR

Over — $0

+$0

VeryLucky888

CTR

Over — $0

+$0
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