Lamar Cardinals vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats

7 of 11 top Polymarket traders hold Abilene Christian Wildcats (64%) · Abilene Christian Wildcats at 59¢ · $4K held · ended Nov 7

Lamar Cardinals42¢Abilene Christian Wildcats58¢Ended Sat, Nov 7, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

Abilene Christian Wildcats

Consensus Traders

Abilene Christian Wildcats 64%

Total Value

$3.7K

Combined PnL

$-1.4K

Smart Money Entry

86.9¢ → 58.5¢

-33% since entry · 7 traders

Research grade

AvoidAbilene Christian Wildcats at 59%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Abilene Christian Wildcats

7 of 11 top traders (64%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Lamar Cardinals42%

Abilene Christian Wildcats59%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Abilene Christian Wildcats7 traders

Total Value$3.4K

Total Shares5,845

Combined PnL$-1.5K

Lamar Cardinals4 traders

Total Value$320.96

Total Shares491

Combined PnL+$97.08

Abilene Christian Wildcats — 64%Lamar Cardinals — 36%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
LO looppau	Abilene Christian Wildcatsavg 99.9¢	$2.5K	$1.5K	$-1.0K	99% 13202-108 (13310)
OJ ojg	Abilene Christian Wildcatsavg 98.6¢	$1.9K	$1.1K	-$759.02	43% 838-1096 (1934)
FO forecastication4	Abilene Christian Wildcatsavg 44¢	$308	$409.5	+$101.5	50% 1423-1429 (2852)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR	Lamar Cardinalsavg 50¢	$200	$200	+$0	— 1-0 (1)
BO BoomLaLa	Abilene Christian Wildcatsavg 53.6¢	$188.47	$197.97	+$18.6	53% 12855-11522 (24377)
38 38791873984189	Abilene Christian Wildcatsavg 50.8¢	$359.48	$150.89	+$143	48% 63191-68207 (131398)
RN1CTR	Lamar Cardinalsavg 5.4¢	$14.1	$108.39	+$94.29	53% 63014-55227 (118241)
dips.<$100	Abilene Christian Wildcatsavg 59.6¢	$58.37	$57.33	-$1.04	47% 11040-12658 (23698)
PA Pan9X<$100	Abilene Christian Wildcatsavg 66.8¢	$93.3	$34.87	+$20.73	54% 10485-8797 (19282)
0X 0x6453Db824e2bFa4eAcE63b16F716ba663cf66a16-1740178698115CTR<$100	Lamar Cardinalsavg 48¢	$9.23	$7.98	-$1.25	43% 72-96 (168)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100	Lamar Cardinalsavg 5¢	$0.55	$4.59	+$4.03	46% 1795-2102 (3897)

looppau

Abilene Christian Wildcats

Invested

$2,497.5

Value

$1.5K

PnL

$-1.0K

Record

99%

13202-108 (13310)

ojg

Abilene Christian Wildcats

Invested

$1,865.15

Value

$1.1K

PnL

-$759.02

Record

43%

838-1096 (1934)

forecastication4

Abilene Christian Wildcats

Invested

$308

Value

$409.5

PnL

+$101.5

Record

50%

1423-1429 (2852)

overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR

Lamar Cardinals

Invested

$200

Value

$200

PnL

+$0

Record

—

1-0 (1)

BoomLaLa

Abilene Christian Wildcats

Invested

$188.47

Value

$197.97

PnL

+$18.6

Record

53%

12855-11522 (24377)

38791873984189

Abilene Christian Wildcats

Invested

$359.48

Value

$150.89

PnL

+$143

Record

48%

63191-68207 (131398)

RN1CTR

Lamar Cardinals

Invested

$14.1

Value

$108.39

PnL

+$94.29

Record

53%

63014-55227 (118241)

dips.<$100

Abilene Christian Wildcats

Invested

$58.37

Value

$57.33

PnL

-$1.04

Record

47%

11040-12658 (23698)

Pan9X<$100

Abilene Christian Wildcats

Invested

$93.3

Value

$34.87

PnL

+$20.73

Record

54%

10485-8797 (19282)

0x6453Db824e2bFa4eAcE63b16F716ba663cf66a16-1740178698115CTR<$100

Lamar Cardinals

Invested

$9.23

Value

$7.98

PnL

-$1.25

Record

43%

72-96 (168)

keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100

Lamar Cardinals

Invested

$0.55

Value

$4.59

PnL

+$4.03

Record

46%

1795-2102 (3897)

Research grade

AvoidAbilene Christian Wildcats at 59%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).

Smart Money Signal

Abilene Christian Wildcats

7 of 11 top traders (64%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Abilene Christian Wildcats wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance60.7%

58.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$64.73

Max Loss

-$100.00

164.7

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.