Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Iona Gaels — but St. John's Red Storm won instead.

Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-28.5)

Resolved St. John's Red Storm. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Iona Gaels. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Iona Gaels 80%

Total Value

$18.2K

Combined PnL

$8.7K

Iona Gaels

5 of 6 top traders (83%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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St. Johns Red Storm0%

Iona Gaels0%

St. John's Red Storm1 trader

Total Value$18.2K

Total Shares18,206

Combined PnL+$10.2K

Iona Gaels5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares21,054

Combined PnL$-1.5K

St. John's Red Storm — 17%Iona Gaels — 83%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HI hi774c	St. John's Red Stormavg 44¢	$8.0K	$18.2K	+$10.2K	46% 5627-6537 (12164)
HO HomeRunHazardCTR	Iona Gaelsavg 52.4¢	$1.4K	—	$-1.4K	54% 19989-16868 (36857)
FE ferrariChampions2026CTR	Iona Gaelsavg 56¢	$9.08	—	-$9.08	46% 33409-38908 (72317)
VI vibing123CTR	Iona Gaelsavg 53¢	$89.35	—	-$89.35	52% 1735-1631 (3366)
0xheavy888CTR<$100	Iona Gaelsavg 55¢	$41.25	—	-$41.25	56% 8773-6961 (15734)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR<$100	Iona Gaelsavg 50¢	—	—	+$0	56% 195-152 (347)