Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Iona Gaels — but St. John's Red Storm won instead.

Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-27.5)

Resolved St. John's Red Storm. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Iona Gaels. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Iona Gaels 67%

Total Value

Combined PnL

$-1.2K

Iona Gaels

4 of 7 top traders (57%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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St. Johns Red Storm0%

Iona Gaels0%

Iona Gaels4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares3,028

Combined PnL$-1.1K

St. Johns Red Storm3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares170

Combined PnL-$89.99

Iona Gaels — 57%St. Johns Red Storm — 43%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO HomeRunHazardCTR	Iona Gaelsavg 50.5¢	$680.64	—	-$680.64	54% 19989-16868 (36857)
0xheavy888CTR<$100	St. Johns Red Stormavg 51.8¢	$85.47	—	-$85.47	56% 8773-6961 (15734)
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100	St. Johns Red Stormavg 53¢	$5	—	-$4.53	52% 9515-8627 (18142)
FE ferrariChampions2026CTR	Iona Gaelsavg 52¢	$24.33	—	-$24.33	46% 33409-38908 (72317)
VI vibing123CTR	Iona Gaelsavg 48¢	$147.95	—	-$147.95	52% 1735-1631 (3366)
RollAwayTheDewCTR	Iona Gaelsavg 49¢	$226.35	—	-$226.35	54% 593-502 (1095)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR	St. Johns Red Stormavg 50¢	$200	—	+$0	56% 195-152 (347)