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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.

Iona Gaels vs. Hofstra Pride: O/U 134.5

Resolved Under. 30% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Over 38%

Total Value

$2.2K

Combined PnL

$-3.1K

Smart Money Signal

Over

3 of 10 top traders (30%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over0%

Under100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under7 traders

Total Value$2.2K

Total Shares2,196

Combined PnL+$1.1K

Over3 traders

Total Value$14.71

Total Shares8,554

Combined PnL$-4.2K

Under — 70%Over — 30%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
TO tomb2456	Underavg 51¢	$1.0K	$2.0K	+$1.0K	53% 31-28 (59)
OD Oddstorm	Underavg 48¢	$55.32	$115.26	+$59.94	32% 93-197 (290)
IC ic4cream<$100	Underavg 53¢	$14.58	$27.51	+$12.93	6% 29-459 (488)
HI hi774cCTR	Overavg 49¢	$2.6K	$9.71	$-2.6K	22% 161-581 (742)
BO BoomLaLa<$100	Underavg 48¢	$2.42	$5.04	+$2.62	33% 146-291 (437)
HO HomeRunHazardCTR	Overavg 50¢	$1.6K	$5	$-1.6K	57% 3582-2736 (6318)
AM ameisgoat11<$100	Underavg 51¢	$2.55	$5	+$2.45	41% 631-924 (1555)
VeryLucky888<$100	Underavg 48.9¢	$82.24	$0.01	+$0.51	54% 1217-1056 (2273)
0X 0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksCTR<$100	Overavg 51¢	$26.52	—	-$26.52	55% 253-209 (462)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles	Underavg 50¢	$400	—	+$0	73% 120-45 (165)

Invested

$1,041.85

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$1.0K

Record

53%

31-28 (59)

Invested

$55.32

Value

$115.26

PnL

+$59.94

Record

32%

93-197 (290)

Invested

$14.58

Value

$27.51

PnL

+$12.93

Record

6%

29-459 (488)

Invested

$2,593.28

Value

$9.71

PnL

$-2.6K

Record

22%

161-581 (742)

Invested

$2.42

Value

$5.04

PnL

+$2.62

Record

33%

146-291 (437)

HomeRunHazardCTR

Invested

$1,611.14

Value

$5

PnL

$-1.6K

Record

57%

3582-2736 (6318)

ameisgoat11<$100

Invested

$2.55

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.45

Record

41%

631-924 (1555)

VeryLucky888<$100

Invested

$82.24

Value

$0.01

PnL

+$0.51

Record

54%

1217-1056 (2273)

0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksCTR<$100

Invested

$26.52

Value

—

PnL

-$26.52

Record

55%

253-209 (462)

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

Invested

$400

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

73%

120-45 (165)

Smart Money Signal

Over

3 of 10 top traders (30%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xda587da7...3a0552

Slug

cbb-iona-hofst-2026-11-13-total-134pt5

Traders in this Market

tomb2456

Under — $2.0K

Oddstorm

Under — $115.26

ic4cream

Under — $27.51

hi774c

Over — $9.71

BoomLaLa

Under — $5.04

HomeRunHazard

Over — $5

ameisgoat11

Under — $5

VeryLucky888

Under — $0.01

0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks

Over — $0

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

Under — $0

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