Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Harvard Crimson β but George Washington Revolutionaries won instead.

Harvard Crimson vs. George Washington Revolutionaries
Resolved George Washington Revolutionaries. 36% of the top Polymarket traders held Harvard Crimson. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
14
Harvard Crimson 38%
$2.4K
$-2.6K
Smart Money Signal
5 of 14 top traders (36%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TA takeormake | George Washington Revolutionariesavg 89.6Β’ | $615.89 | $641.4 | +$25.51 | 58% 3436-2532 (5968) |
![]() RN1 | George Washington Revolutionariesavg 83.1Β’ | $574.26 | $616 | +$41.74 | 56% 5073-4021 (9094) |
![]() 0xheavy888 | George Washington Revolutionariesavg 85.6Β’ | $417.63 | $487.69 | +$70.06 | 55% 441-368 (809) |
TH thirdt1me | George Washington Revolutionariesavg 71Β’ | $213 | $200 | +$77 | 48% 243-264 (507) |
38 38791873984189 | George Washington Revolutionariesavg 74.7Β’ | $231.8 | $192.5 | +$65.93 | 48% 2942-3249 (6191) |
HO HomeRunHazard | George Washington Revolutionariesavg 85Β’ | $142.33 | $167 | +$24.67 | 57% 3570-2717 (6287) |
0X 0xD16201ba67A40915b3176272911b9e44aBa30d24-1763774387576CTR | Harvard Crimsonavg 30.6Β’ | $2.7K | β | $-2.7K | 0% 0-24 (24) |
PA Pan9X | George Washington Revolutionariesavg 72.2Β’ | $104.26 | $77.5 | +$33.98 | 49% 1349-1396 (2745) |
MA MadridTimeCTR | Harvard Crimsonavg 12Β’ | $180.6 | β | -$180.6 | 37% 926-1560 (2486) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | George Washington Revolutionariesavg 86.5Β’ | $8.65 | $10 | +$1.35 | 40% 614-914 (1528) |
BO BoomLaLaCTR<$100 | Harvard Crimsonavg 10Β’ | $8.45 | β | -$8.45 | 33% 144-286 (430) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100 | Harvard Crimsonavg 9.5Β’ | $20.44 | β | -$20.44 | 51% 2368-2313 (4681) |
NO NotJumpCTR | Harvard Crimsonavg 39.4Β’ | $517.03 | β | +$7.38 | 53% 750-672 (1422) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | George Washington Revolutionariesavg 50Β’ | $1.6K | β | +$0 | 73% 119-43 (162) |
Invested
$615.89
Value
$641.4
PnL
+$25.51
Record
58%
3436-2532 (5968)
RN1Invested
$574.26
Value
$616
PnL
+$41.74
Record
56%
5073-4021 (9094)
0xheavy888Invested
$417.63
Value
$487.69
PnL
+$70.06
Record
55%
441-368 (809)
Invested
$213
Value
$200
PnL
+$77
Record
48%
243-264 (507)
Invested
$231.8
Value
$192.5
PnL
+$65.93
Record
48%
2942-3249 (6191)
Invested
$142.33
Value
$167
PnL
+$24.67
Record
57%
3570-2717 (6287)
Invested
$2,724.79
Value
β
PnL
$-2.7K
Record
0%
0-24 (24)
Invested
$104.26
Value
$77.5
PnL
+$33.98
Record
49%
1349-1396 (2745)
Invested
$180.6
Value
β
PnL
-$180.6
Record
37%
926-1560 (2486)
Invested
$8.65
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.35
Record
40%
614-914 (1528)
Invested
$8.45
Value
β
PnL
-$8.45
Record
33%
144-286 (430)
Invested
$20.44
Value
β
PnL
-$20.44
Record
51%
2368-2313 (4681)
Invested
$517.03
Value
β
PnL
+$7.38
Record
53%
750-672 (1422)
Invested
$1,598
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
73%
119-43 (162)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
takeormake
George Washington Revolutionaries β $641.4

RN1
George Washington Revolutionaries β $616

0xheavy888
George Washington Revolutionaries β $487.69
thirdt1me
George Washington Revolutionaries β $200
38791873984189
George Washington Revolutionaries β $192.5
HomeRunHazard
George Washington Revolutionaries β $167
0xD16201ba67A40915b3176272911b9e44aBa30d24-1763774387576
CTRHarvard Crimson β $0
Pan9X
George Washington Revolutionaries β $77.5
MadridTime
CTRHarvard Crimson β $0
ameisgoat11
George Washington Revolutionaries β $10