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OverUnderOverUnderUnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 158.5
Resolved Under. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Over 40%
Total Value
$80.78
Combined PnL
-$297.2
Smart Money Signal
Over
2 of 6 top traders (33%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares635
Combined PnL-$340.77
Under4 traders
Total Value$80.78
Total Shares81
Combined PnL+$43.57
Over — 33%Under — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazardCTR | Overavg 51.4¢ | $335.37 | — | -$335.37 | 56% 3778-2937 (6715) |
FO Forecastication2<$100 | Underavg 46¢ | $33.12 | $72 | +$38.88 | 44% 283-358 (641) |
0X 0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksCTR<$100 | Overavg 54¢ | $5.4 | — | -$5.4 | 53% 348-313 (661) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Underavg 47¢ | $2.35 | $5 | +$2.65 | 42% 740-1034 (1774) |
HI hi774c<$100 | Underavg 46¢ | $1.74 | $3.78 | +$2.04 | 24% 201-650 (851) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Underavg 50¢ | $200 | — | +$0 | 65% 140-74 (214) |
HO
HomeRunHazardCTRInvested
$335.37
Value
—
PnL
-$335.37
Record
56%
3778-2937 (6715)
FO
Forecastication2<$100Invested
$33.12
Value
$72
PnL
+$38.88
Record
44%
283-358 (641)
0X
0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksCTR<$100Invested
$5.4
Value
—
PnL
-$5.4
Record
53%
348-313 (661)
AM
ameisgoat11<$100Invested
$2.35
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.65
Record
42%
740-1034 (1774)
HI
hi774c<$100Invested
$1.74
Value
$3.78
PnL
+$2.04
Record
24%
201-650 (851)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesInvested
$200
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
140-74 (214)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3237fdea...a2e72c
Slug
cbb-dxst-cah-2026-11-14-total-158pt5