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RN1CTR<$100OverOverOverOverUnderUnderOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Chattanooga Mocs vs. Elon Phoenix: O/U 150.5
Resolved Under. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Over 67%
Total Value
$10
Combined PnL
-$101.02
Smart Money Signal
Over
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares157
Combined PnL-$106.97
Under2 traders
Total Value$10
Total Shares10
Combined PnL+$5.95
Over — 71%Under — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RN1CTR<$100 | Overavg 65.5¢ | $38.04 | — | -$38.04 | 56% 5073-4021 (9094) |
HO HomeRunHazardCTR<$100 | Overavg 50.9¢ | $28.77 | — | -$28.77 | 57% 3570-2717 (6287) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Overavg 59.6¢ | $27.23 | — | -$27.23 | 48% 2942-3249 (6191) |
SM smithagentCTR<$100 | Overavg 68¢ | $12.92 | — | -$12.92 | 44% 600-749 (1349) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100 | Underavg 33¢ | $1.65 | $5 | +$3.35 | 37% 497-832 (1329) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Underavg 47¢ | $7.25 | $5 | +$2.6 | 40% 614-914 (1528) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Overavg 50¢ | $600 | — | +$0 | 73% 119-43 (162) |
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$38.04
Value
—
PnL
-$38.04
Record
56%
5073-4021 (9094)
HO
HomeRunHazardCTR<$100Invested
$28.77
Value
—
PnL
-$28.77
Record
57%
3570-2717 (6287)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$27.23
Value
—
PnL
-$27.23
Record
48%
2942-3249 (6191)
SM
smithagentCTR<$100Invested
$12.92
Value
—
PnL
-$12.92
Record
44%
600-749 (1349)
0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100Invested
$1.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.35
Record
37%
497-832 (1329)
AM
ameisgoat11<$100Invested
$7.25
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.6
Record
40%
614-914 (1528)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTRInvested
$600
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
73%
119-43 (162)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd5395b28...0b2e0e
Slug
cbb-chat-elon-2026-11-13-total-150pt5