Back to Markets
UnderOver
0xheavy888CTRUnder
VeryLucky888CTR<$100UnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 148.5
Resolved Over. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
4
Under 75%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$360.47
Combined PnL
-$310.02
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 4 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over1 trader
Total Value$5.01
Total Shares5
Combined PnL+$0.05
Under3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares756
Combined PnL-$310.07
Over — 25%Under — 75%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazardARB<$100 | Underavg 47.7¢ | $820.48 | $355.46 | -$396.27 | 54% 19992-16872 (36864) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 47.7¢ | $370.28 | — | -$707.68 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 55.8¢ | $198.49 | $355.46 | +$311.42 | |
MA MarquisDeMott<$100 | Overavg 99.1¢ | $5.01 | $5.01 | +$0.05 | 98% 4590-102 (4692) |
0xheavy888CTR | Underavg 46¢ | $306.36 | — | -$306.36 | 56% 8780-6967 (15747) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Underavg 46.6¢ | $3.44 | — | -$3.44 | 59% 52427-37141 (89568) |
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100 | Underavg 48¢ | $0.27 | — | -$0.27 | 52% 9525-8636 (18161) |
HO
HomeRunHazardARB<$100Invested
$820.48
Value
$355.46
PnL
-$396.27
Record
54%
19992-16872 (36864)
Both legs:
Under$370.2847.7¢-$707.68
Over$198.4955.8¢+$311.42
MA
MarquisDeMott<$100Invested
$5.01
Value
$5.01
PnL
+$0.05
Record
98%
4590-102 (4692)
0xheavy888CTRInvested
$306.36
Value
—
PnL
-$306.36
Record
56%
8780-6967 (15747)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$3.44
Value
—
PnL
-$3.44
Record
59%
52427-37141 (89568)
AM
ameisgoat11CTR<$100Invested
$0.27
Value
—
PnL
-$0.27
Record
52%
9525-8636 (18161)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xd2d7072c...a9476b
Slug
cbb-camp-wmich-2026-11-08-total-148pt5