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UnderOverOverUnder
VeryLucky888<$100UnderOver
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Idaho Vandals: O/U 166.5
Resolved Under. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Under 67%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$722.33
Combined PnL
$150.59
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$608.21
Total Shares608
Combined PnL+$302.85
Over2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares306
Combined PnL-$152.26
Under — 60%Over — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x8cBbF4e3d2D0b6Fb7b684cF1f5EE12d79dFCE8A8-1772503424879 | Underavg 49.7¢ | $300 | $603.2 | +$303.2 | — 7-5 (12) |
HO HomeRunHazardARB<$100 | Overavg 52¢ | $271.45 | $114.12 | -$157.33 | 57% 3601-2755 (6356) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 52¢ | $219.22 | — | -$219.22 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 45.8¢ | $52.22 | $114.12 | +$61.9 | |
38 38791873984189CTR | Overavg 50.3¢ | $249.26 | — | -$152.26 | 48% 3052-3353 (6405) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Underavg 45¢ | $2.25 | $5 | +$2.75 | 40% 639-940 (1579) |
VeryLucky888<$100 | Underavg 49¢ | $51.42 | $0.01 | -$3.1 | 53% 1232-1075 (2307) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Overavg 50¢ | $200 | — | +$0 | 72% 120-47 (167) |
0X
0x8cBbF4e3d2D0b6Fb7b684cF1f5EE12d79dFCE8A8-1772503424879Invested
$300
Value
$603.2
PnL
+$303.2
Record
—
7-5 (12)
HO
HomeRunHazardARB<$100Invested
$271.45
Value
$114.12
PnL
-$157.33
Record
57%
3601-2755 (6356)
Both legs:
Over$219.2252¢-$219.22
Under$52.2245.8¢+$61.9
38
38791873984189CTRInvested
$249.26
Value
—
PnL
-$152.26
Record
48%
3052-3353 (6405)
AM
ameisgoat11<$100Invested
$2.25
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.75
Record
40%
639-940 (1579)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$51.42
Value
$0.01
PnL
-$3.1
Record
53%
1232-1075 (2307)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTRInvested
$200
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
72%
120-47 (167)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x94a846f6...bd07e1
Slug
cbb-calpol-idaho-2026-11-13-total-166pt5