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UnderOverOverUnder
VeryLucky888<$100Over
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Ball State Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 151.5
Resolved Over. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 50%
Total Value
$206.01
Combined PnL
-$21.33
Smart Money Signal
Under
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares248
Combined PnL-$128
Over3 traders
Total Value$206.01
Total Shares206
Combined PnL+$106.67
Under — 40%Over — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazardCTR | Underavg 51.6¢ | $125.35 | — | -$125.35 | 57% 3601-2755 (6356) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Overavg 50¢ | $400 | $106 | +$55.67 | 72% 120-47 (167) |
BO BoomLaLa | Overavg 48¢ | $48 | $100 | +$52 | 33% 147-294 (441) |
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100 | Underavg 53¢ | $2.65 | — | -$2.65 | 40% 639-940 (1579) |
VeryLucky888<$100 | Overavg 48¢ | $50.37 | $0.01 | -$1 | 53% 1232-1075 (2307) |
HO
HomeRunHazardCTRInvested
$125.35
Value
—
PnL
-$125.35
Record
57%
3601-2755 (6356)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesInvested
$400
Value
$106
PnL
+$55.67
Record
72%
120-47 (167)
BO
BoomLaLaInvested
$48
Value
$100
PnL
+$52
Record
33%
147-294 (441)
AM
ameisgoat11CTR<$100Invested
$2.65
Value
—
PnL
-$2.65
Record
40%
639-940 (1579)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$50.37
Value
$0.01
PnL
-$1
Record
53%
1232-1075 (2307)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2bff169c...0f5cdf
Slug
cbb-ballst-smu-2026-11-13-total-151pt5