Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Under β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under

SV 07 Elversberg vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 6.5
Resolved Under. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Under 56%
1 arb excluded
$2.5K
-$38.62
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UP UpTheBlues | Underavg 97Β’ | $939.74 | $968.98 | +$29.24 | 59% 45388-31736 (77124) |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Underavg 94.5Β’ | $571.15 | $561 | -$10.15 | 50% 24867-24583 (49450) |
| β Under leg | Underavg 94.5Β’ | $530.17 | $561 | +$30.83 | |
| β Over leg | Overavg 1.5Β’ | $40.98 | β | -$40.98 | |
![]() RN1 | Underavg 98.5Β’ | $492.5 | $500 | +$7.5 | 54% 56351-48500 (104851) |
LU LuckyLoo | Underavg 98.3Β’ | $292.11 | $293.28 | +$1.17 | 49% 12488-12848 (25336) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 4.4Β’ | $46.74 | β | -$46.74 | 38% 3225-5275 (8500) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Overavg 2.4Β’ | $21.59 | β | -$21.59 | 46% 8032-9481 (17513) |
![]() HRTrading | Underavg 97.9Β’ | $104.1 | $106.26 | +$2.16 | 52% 4041-3673 (7714) |
![]() poshposhCTR<$100 | Overavg 1.7Β’ | $14 | β | -$14 | 59% 9968-6940 (16908) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Underavg 89Β’ | $38.35 | $43.09 | +$4.74 | 50% 33200-32726 (65926) |
FO fooooolCTR<$100 | Overavg 10.4Β’ | $1.11 | β | -$1.11 | 50% 10770-10596 (21366) |
Invested
$939.74
Value
$968.98
PnL
+$29.24
Record
59%
45388-31736 (77124)
Invested
$571.15
Value
$561
PnL
-$10.15
Record
50%
24867-24583 (49450)
Both legs:
RN1Invested
$492.5
Value
$500
PnL
+$7.5
Record
54%
56351-48500 (104851)
Invested
$292.11
Value
$293.28
PnL
+$1.17
Record
49%
12488-12848 (25336)
Invested
$46.74
Value
β
PnL
-$46.74
Record
38%
3225-5275 (8500)
Invested
$21.59
Value
β
PnL
-$21.59
Record
46%
8032-9481 (17513)
HRTradingInvested
$104.1
Value
$106.26
PnL
+$2.16
Record
52%
4041-3673 (7714)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$14
Value
β
PnL
-$14
Record
59%
9968-6940 (16908)
Invested
$38.35
Value
$43.09
PnL
+$4.74
Record
50%
33200-32726 (65926)
Invested
$1.11
Value
β
PnL
-$1.11
Record
50%
10770-10596 (21366)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
UpTheBlues
Under β $968.98
GoalLineGhost
ARBArbitrage β excluded

RN1
Under β $500
LuckyLoo
Under β $293.28
topdogbigboi
CTROver β $0
38791873984189
CTROver β $0

HRTrading
Under β $106.26

poshposh
CTROver β $0
SnakeBall
Under β $43.09
foooool
CTROver β $0