Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was SV 07 Elversberg — and it was correct. Winning outcome: SV 07 Elversberg
Spread: SV 07 Elversberg (-2.5)
Resolved SV 07 Elversberg. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held SV 07 Elversberg. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
SV 07 Elversberg 70%
1 arb excluded
$3.6K
$1.3K
Smart Money Signal
11 of 15 top traders (73%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UP UpTheBlues | SV 07 Elversbergavg 58.4¢ | $856.15 | $1.4K | +$557.41 | 59% 45388-31736 (77124) |
OM omnibus-076daa | SV 07 Elversbergavg 53¢ | $597.92 | $1.1K | +$530.08 | 49% 19022-19422 (38444) |
38 38791873984189ARB<$100 | SV 07 Elversbergavg 54.4¢ | $640.78 | $596.54 | +$33.81 | 46% 8032-9481 (17513) |
| └ SV 07 Elversberg leg | SV 07 Elversbergavg 54.4¢ | $324.78 | $596.54 | +$283.72 | |
| └ 1. FSV Mainz 05 leg | 1. FSV Mainz 05avg 45.7¢ | $241.54 | — | -$249.91 | |
TO topdogbigboi | SV 07 Elversbergavg 35.1¢ | $91.35 | $135.76 | +$44.41 | 38% 3225-5275 (8500) |
SN SnakeBall | SV 07 Elversbergavg 62.1¢ | $93.07 | $149.87 | +$56.8 | 50% 33200-32726 (65926) |
AN Anon455 | SV 07 Elversbergavg 66.2¢ | $68.48 | $103.45 | +$34.97 | 56% 2860-2290 (5150) |
0X 0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191<$100 | SV 07 Elversbergavg 33.8¢ | $16.9 | $50 | +$33.1 | 47% 4528-5014 (9542) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | 1. FSV Mainz 05avg 20.2¢ | $9.09 | — | -$9.09 | 49% 12488-12848 (25336) |
 poshposhCTR<$100 | 1. FSV Mainz 05avg 52¢ | $22.15 | — | -$22.15 | 59% 9968-6940 (16908) |
US User7429<$100 | SV 07 Elversbergavg 55¢ | $11.55 | $21 | +$9.45 | 55% 8247-6664 (14911) |
 HRTradingCTR<$100 | 1. FSV Mainz 05avg 9.6¢ | $1.09 | — | -$1.09 | 52% 4041-3673 (7714) |
 eskillo | SV 07 Elversbergavg 53.3¢ | $283.13 | $0.01 | +$39.39 | 42% 586-816 (1402) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | SV 07 Elversbergavg 4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 24867-24583 (49450) |
SH shiifoo<$100 | SV 07 Elversbergavg 40.2¢ | $23.69 | — | +$4.11 | 60% 3327-2232 (5559) |
VA Vampiro1CTR<$100 | 1. FSV Mainz 05avg 66¢ | $91.8 | — | -$9.78 | 77% 3253-982 (4235) |
RE retarb<$100 | SV 07 Elversbergavg 55¢ | $3.74 | — | +$0.5 | 48% 4207-4479 (8686) |
Invested
$856.15
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$557.41
Record
59%
45388-31736 (77124)
Invested
$597.92
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$530.08
Record
49%
19022-19422 (38444)
Invested
$640.78
Value
$596.54
PnL
+$33.81
Record
46%
8032-9481 (17513)
Both legs:
Invested
$91.35
Value
$135.76
PnL
+$44.41
Record
38%
3225-5275 (8500)
Invested
$93.07
Value
$149.87
PnL
+$56.8
Record
50%
33200-32726 (65926)
Invested
$68.48
Value
$103.45
PnL
+$34.97
Record
56%
2860-2290 (5150)
Invested
$16.9
Value
$50
PnL
+$33.1
Record
47%
4528-5014 (9542)
Invested
$9.09
Value
—
PnL
-$9.09
Record
49%
12488-12848 (25336)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$22.15
Value
—
PnL
-$22.15
Record
59%
9968-6940 (16908)
Invested
$11.55
Value
$21
PnL
+$9.45
Record
55%
8247-6664 (14911)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$1.09
Value
—
PnL
-$1.09
Record
52%
4041-3673 (7714)
eskilloInvested
$283.13
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$39.39
Record
42%
586-816 (1402)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
24867-24583 (49450)
Invested
$23.69
Value
—
PnL
+$4.11
Record
60%
3327-2232 (5559)
Invested
$91.8
Value
—
PnL
-$9.78
Record
77%
3253-982 (4235)
Invested
$3.74
Value
—
PnL
+$0.5
Record
48%
4207-4479 (8686)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
UpTheBlues
SV 07 Elversberg — $1.4K
omnibus-076daa
SV 07 Elversberg — $1.1K
38791873984189
ARBArbitrage — excluded
topdogbigboi
SV 07 Elversberg — $135.76
SnakeBall
SV 07 Elversberg — $149.87
Anon455
SV 07 Elversberg — $103.45
0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191
SV 07 Elversberg — $50
LuckyLoo
CTR1. FSV Mainz 05 — $0
poshposh
CTR1. FSV Mainz 05 — $0
User7429
SV 07 Elversberg — $21