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UnderOver
HRTradingCTR<$100UnderOverUnderOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: FC Bayern München O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Under 67%
Total Value
$580.16
Combined PnL
-$591.35
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,702
Combined PnL-$781.43
Over3 traders
Total Value$580.16
Total Shares580
Combined PnL+$190.08
Under — 50%Over — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UP UpTheBluesCTR | Underavg 28.9¢ | $774.19 | — | -$774.19 | 59% 45969-32302 (78271) |
TO topdogbigboi | Overavg 67.2¢ | $390.08 | $580.16 | +$190.08 | 49% 8081-8480 (16561) |
HRTradingCTR<$100 | Underavg 31.8¢ | $7.25 | — | -$7.25 | 53% 4792-4312 (9104) |
OM omnibus-076daa<$100 | Overavg 80¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 19212-19597 (38809) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Underavg 35¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 30499-21212 (51711) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Overavg 75¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 33488-33047 (66535) |
UP
UpTheBluesCTRInvested
$774.19
Value
—
PnL
-$774.19
Record
59%
45969-32302 (78271)
TO
topdogbigboiInvested
$390.08
Value
$580.16
PnL
+$190.08
Record
49%
8081-8480 (16561)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$7.25
Value
—
PnL
-$7.25
Record
53%
4792-4312 (9104)
OM
omnibus-076daa<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
19212-19597 (38809)
0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
30499-21212 (51711)
SN
SnakeBall<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
33488-33047 (66535)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb3850c53...a72ad6
Slug
bun-bay-dor-2026-10-31-team-total-home-1pt5