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UnderOver
HRTradingCTR<$100UnderUnderUnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund O/U 0.5
Resolved Over. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Under 75%
Total Value
$108.08
Combined PnL
-$74.55
Smart Money Signal
Under
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares257
Combined PnL-$121.54
Over1 trader
Total Value$108.08
Total Shares108
Combined PnL+$46.99
Under — 83%Over — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UP UpTheBluesCTR | Underavg 48.9¢ | $110.51 | — | -$110.51 | 59% 45969-32302 (78271) |
HE hedgevaultmainnet1 | Overavg 56.5¢ | $61.09 | $108.08 | +$46.99 | 53% 2197-1937 (4134) |
HRTradingCTR<$100 | Underavg 34¢ | $7.99 | — | -$7.99 | 53% 4792-4312 (9104) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Underavg 39¢ | $3.04 | — | -$3.04 | 49% 8081-8480 (16561) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Underavg 40¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 33488-33047 (66535) |
BE BetyourselfCTR<$100 | Underavg 22¢ | — | — | +$0 | 64% 2255-1266 (3521) |
UP
UpTheBluesCTRInvested
$110.51
Value
—
PnL
-$110.51
Record
59%
45969-32302 (78271)
HE
hedgevaultmainnet1Invested
$61.09
Value
$108.08
PnL
+$46.99
Record
53%
2197-1937 (4134)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$7.99
Value
—
PnL
-$7.99
Record
53%
4792-4312 (9104)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$3.04
Value
—
PnL
-$3.04
Record
49%
8081-8480 (16561)
SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
33488-33047 (66535)
BE
BetyourselfCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
64%
2255-1266 (3521)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x260578ca...85c501
Slug
bun-bay-dor-2026-10-31-team-total-away-0pt5