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Yes
HRTrading<$100NoYes
RN1<$100NoYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 2 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 67%
Total Value
$11.32
Combined PnL
-$42.13
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,268
Combined PnL-$42.04
No2 traders
Total Value$11.32
Total Shares11
Combined PnL-$0.09
Yes — 60%No — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FO Forecastication2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.4¢ | $38.42 | — | -$38.42 | 50% 7036-7035 (14071) |
HRTrading<$100 | Noavg 98.8¢ | $11.41 | $11.32 | -$0.09 | 53% 4792-4312 (9104) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3¢ | $3.62 | — | -$3.62 | 50% 33488-33047 (66535) |
RN1<$100 | Noavg 96.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 56681-48879 (105560) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45969-32302 (78271) |
FO
Forecastication2CTR<$100Invested
$38.42
Value
—
PnL
-$38.42
Record
50%
7036-7035 (14071)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$11.41
Value
$11.32
PnL
-$0.09
Record
53%
4792-4312 (9104)
SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100Invested
$3.62
Value
—
PnL
-$3.62
Record
50%
33488-33047 (66535)
RN1<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
56681-48879 (105560)
UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45969-32302 (78271)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa95f0bcf...0aa247
Slug
bun-bay-dor-2026-10-31-exact-score-1-2