Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
53
Up 77%
$14.0K
$-12.6K
Smart Money Signal
41 of 53 top traders (77%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%30 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $8.9K | — | $-8.2K | 55% 553-446 (999) |
 arcsine-barrister | Upavg 50¢ | $5.0K | $4.7K | +$11.15 | 44% 391-500 (891) |
MA machine-earningCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $4.0K | — | $-3.5K | 45% 675-821 (1496) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$11.27 | 98% 4700-98 (4798) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 88¢ | $997.66 | $959.43 | -$36.3 | 59% 1201-851 (2052) |
SO soswald1CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $950 | — | -$922.14 | 52% 4002-3711 (7713) |
AL almach | Upavg 96.6¢ | $873.22 | $890.7 | +$17.48 | 52% 1730-1622 (3352) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 94.6¢ | $847.07 | $877.32 | +$30.24 | 52% 1741-1612 (3353) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 92.6¢ | $743.22 | $802.91 | +$59.69 | 48% 1231-1348 (2579) |
BO bosona | Upavg 86¢ | $620.6 | $722.01 | +$101.41 | 51% 4994-4725 (9719) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 52.4¢ | $540.24 | $490.39 | +$4.32 | 54% 4416-3739 (8155) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 84.7¢ | $401.09 | $418.83 | +$17.75 | 55% 4670-3764 (8434) |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 93.2¢ | $396.51 | $397.05 | +$2.3 | 52% 5253-4908 (10161) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 76.6¢ | $222 | $250.55 | +$28.55 | 53% 1041-937 (1978) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 97.2¢ | $275.63 | $240 | -$35.63 | 51% 2638-2500 (5138) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 92.2¢ | $186.26 | $188.03 | +$1.77 | 35% 862-1595 (2457) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 91.3¢ | $184.89 | $186.14 | +$1.25 | 44% 870-1102 (1972) |
0X 0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894 | Upavg 89.3¢ | $182.27 | $180.42 | -$1.85 | 51% 923-892 (1815) |
 OhioRiskManagement | Upavg 93.7¢ | $167.48 | $178.68 | +$11.2 | 40% 1813-2746 (4559) |
AS asdaefef | Upavg 93.8¢ | $173.15 | $167.64 | -$4.27 | 66% 4119-2085 (6204) |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 89.4¢ | $150.81 | $148.47 | +$11.91 | 50% 4723-4777 (9500) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335 | Upavg 93¢ | $119.21 | $126 | +$6.79 | 51% 922-899 (1821) |
GA gansinimen | Upavg 91¢ | $95 | $100 | +$5 | 51% 494-467 (961) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 96.1¢ | $82.44 | $85.81 | +$3.37 | 53% 3147-2839 (5986) |
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100 | Upavg 93.5¢ | $77.34 | $79.99 | +$2.65 | 54% 1107-960 (2067) |
Invested
$8,917
Value
—
PnL
$-8.2K
Record
55%
553-446 (999)
arcsine-barristerInvested
$5,000
Value
$4.7K
PnL
+$11.15
Record
44%
391-500 (891)
Invested
$4,000
Value
—
PnL
$-3.5K
Record
45%
675-821 (1496)
Invested
$1,115.58
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$11.27
Record
98%
4700-98 (4798)
Invested
$997.66
Value
$959.43
PnL
-$36.3
Record
59%
1201-851 (2052)
Invested
$950
Value
—
PnL
-$922.14
Record
52%
4002-3711 (7713)
Invested
$873.22
Value
$890.7
PnL
+$17.48
Record
52%
1730-1622 (3352)
Invested
$847.07
Value
$877.32
PnL
+$30.24
Record
52%
1741-1612 (3353)
machinelearnedInvested
$743.22
Value
$802.91
PnL
+$59.69
Record
48%
1231-1348 (2579)
Invested
$620.6
Value
$722.01
PnL
+$101.41
Record
51%
4994-4725 (9719)
Invested
$540.24
Value
$490.39
PnL
+$4.32
Record
54%
4416-3739 (8155)
Invested
$401.09
Value
$418.83
PnL
+$17.75
Record
55%
4670-3764 (8434)
Invested
$396.51
Value
$397.05
PnL
+$2.3
Record
52%
5253-4908 (10161)
Invested
$222
Value
$250.55
PnL
+$28.55
Record
53%
1041-937 (1978)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$275.63
Value
$240
PnL
-$35.63
Record
51%
2638-2500 (5138)
Invested
$186.26
Value
$188.03
PnL
+$1.77
Record
35%
862-1595 (2457)
Invested
$184.89
Value
$186.14
PnL
+$1.25
Record
44%
870-1102 (1972)
Invested
$182.27
Value
$180.42
PnL
-$1.85
Record
51%
923-892 (1815)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$167.48
Value
$178.68
PnL
+$11.2
Record
40%
1813-2746 (4559)
Invested
$173.15
Value
$167.64
PnL
-$4.27
Record
66%
4119-2085 (6204)
Invested
$150.81
Value
$148.47
PnL
+$11.91
Record
50%
4723-4777 (9500)
Invested
$119.21
Value
$126
PnL
+$6.79
Record
51%
922-899 (1821)
Invested
$95
Value
$100
PnL
+$5
Record
51%
494-467 (961)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$82.44
Value
$85.81
PnL
+$3.37
Record
53%
3147-2839 (5986)
Invested
$77.34
Value
$79.99
PnL
+$2.65
Record
54%
1107-960 (2067)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989
CTRDown — $0
arcsine-barrister
Up — $4.7K
machine-earning
CTRDown — $0
hoodquant
Up — $1.1K
Bonereaper
Up — $959.43
soswald1
CTRDown — $0
almach
Up — $890.7
mo-money
Up — $877.32
machinelearned
Up — $802.91
bosona
Up — $722.01