Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 86%

Total Value

$28.9K

Combined PnL

$1.0K

Smart Money Signal

48 of 56 top traders (86%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%31 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up48 traders

Total Value$28.9K

Total Shares28,910

Combined PnL+$1.2K

Down8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares793

Combined PnL-$234.65

Up — 86%Down — 14%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989	Upavg 50¢	$8.6K	$7.9K	+$70.9	55% 530-425 (955)
arcsine-barrister	Upavg 50¢	$5.0K	$5.0K	+$54.9	43% 364-479 (843)
MA machine-earning	Upavg 50¢	$4.0K	$3.9K	+$151.99	45% 649-799 (1448)
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.6¢	$3.0K	$3.0K	+$11.98	53% 1627-1417 (3044)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 84.4¢	$1.4K	$1.5K	+$74.21	47% 1193-1322 (2515)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98¢	$1.1K	$1.1K	+$21.8	98% 4560-95 (4655)
machinelearned	Upavg 88.6¢	$638.05	$720.25	+$82.19	48% 1204-1329 (2533)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 53.6¢	$562.21	$503.6	+$9.05	54% 4282-3627 (7909)
ST stepahead	Upavg 78.7¢	$494.6	$483.79	+$64.32	55% 4634-3736 (8370)
BO bosona	Upavg 72.5¢	$372.47	$513.85	+$141.39	51% 4946-4701 (9647)
MO mo-money	Upavg 72¢	$360	$500	+$140	52% 1704-1576 (3280)
AL almach	Upavg 89.8¢	$379.22	$422.44	+$43.22	51% 1687-1592 (3279)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 83.2¢	$310.31	$316.39	+$6.08	52% 5211-4882 (10093)
HS Hsilverbasher	Upavg 82¢	$262.4	$320	+$57.6	51% 422-405 (827)
AS asdcaxz	Upavg 94¢	$261.71	$246.99	-$14.72	50% 4644-4696 (9340)
AL Alpharo28	Upavg 83.6¢	$225.6	$270	+$44.4	58% 482-353 (835)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 75.7¢	$272.6	$196.26	+$69.25	35% 837-1572 (2409)
GA gansinimen	Upavg 76.8¢	$136.55	$172.61	+$36.06	52% 477-445 (922)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 78¢	$230.98	$160	-$11.91	51% 2574-2433 (5007)
pspspsps5	Upavg 83.1¢	$130.76	$157.44	+$26.68	34% 1253-2460 (3713)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 74.5¢	$130.85	$130	-$0.85	44% 853-1071 (1924)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 79.4¢	$122.17	$140.44	+$18.27	46% 894-1068 (1962)
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212	Upavg 66¢	$84.31	$127.82	+$43.52	51% 917-871 (1788)
0X 0x51A47545d367d39ef11f9b2aB70a458c2B4fAB73-1770660706727	Upavg 89¢	$100	$112.36	+$12.36	— 0-1 (1)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 96.9¢	$75.56	$78.01	+$2.45	40% 1760-2679 (4439)

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

Invested

$8,567

Value

$7.9K

PnL

+$70.9

Record

55%

530-425 (955)

arcsine-barrister

Invested

$5,000

Value

$5.0K

PnL

+$54.9

Record

43%

364-479 (843)

machine-earning

Invested

$4,000

Value

$3.9K

PnL

+$151.99

Record

45%

649-799 (1448)

0x50f7

Invested

$2,992.88

Value

$3.0K

PnL

+$11.98

Record

53%

1627-1417 (3044)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$1,405.14

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$74.21

Record

47%

1193-1322 (2515)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,091.9

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$21.8

Record

98%

4560-95 (4655)

machinelearned

Invested

$638.05

Value

$720.25

PnL

+$82.19

Record

48%

1204-1329 (2533)

ByteBadger92

Invested

$562.21

Value

$503.6

PnL

+$9.05

Record

54%

4282-3627 (7909)

stepahead

Invested

$494.6

Value

$483.79

PnL

+$64.32

Record

55%

4634-3736 (8370)

bosona

Invested

$372.47

Value

$513.85

PnL

+$141.39

Record

51%

4946-4701 (9647)

mo-money

Invested

$360

Value

$500

PnL

+$140

Record

52%

1704-1576 (3280)

almach

Invested

$379.22

Value

$422.44

PnL

+$43.22

Record

51%

1687-1592 (3279)

blue.birds

Invested

$310.31

Value

$316.39

PnL

+$6.08

Record

52%

5211-4882 (10093)

Hsilverbasher

Invested

$262.4

Value

$320

PnL

+$57.6

Record

51%

422-405 (827)

asdcaxz

Invested

$261.71

Value

$246.99

PnL

-$14.72

Record

50%

4644-4696 (9340)

Alpharo28

Invested

$225.6

Value

$270

PnL

+$44.4

Record

58%

482-353 (835)

ply-pm0

Invested

$272.6

Value

$196.26

PnL

+$69.25

Record

35%

837-1572 (2409)

gansinimen

Invested

$136.55

Value

$172.61

PnL

+$36.06

Record

52%

477-445 (922)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$230.98

Value

$160

PnL

-$11.91

Record

51%

2574-2433 (5007)

pspspsps5

Invested

$130.76

Value

$157.44

PnL

+$26.68

Record

34%

1253-2460 (3713)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$130.85

Value

$130

PnL

-$0.85

Record

44%

853-1071 (1924)

GoodFallen

Invested

$122.17

Value

$140.44

PnL

+$18.27

Record

46%

894-1068 (1962)

0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212

Invested

$84.31

Value

$127.82

PnL

+$43.52

Record

51%

917-871 (1788)

0x51A47545d367d39ef11f9b2aB70a458c2B4fAB73-1770660706727

Invested

$100

Value

$112.36

PnL

+$12.36

Record

—

0-1 (1)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$75.56

Value

$78.01

PnL

+$2.45

Record

40%

1760-2679 (4439)

Smart Money Signal

48 of 56 top traders (86%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%31 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x3474e7f8...c9762b

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794768900

Traders in this Market

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

Up — $7.9K

+$70.9

arcsine-barrister

Up — $5.0K

+$54.9

machine-earning

Up — $3.9K

+$151.99

0x50f7

Up — $3.0K

+$11.98

CrouchPredictions

Up — $1.5K

+$74.21

hoodquant

Up — $1.1K

+$21.8

machinelearned

Up — $720.25

+$82.19

ByteBadger92

Up — $503.6

+$9.05

stepahead

Up — $483.79

+$64.32

bosona

Up — $513.85

+$141.39

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