Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
52
Up 75%
$16.4K
$-16.2K
Smart Money Signal
39 of 52 top traders (75%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%30 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $9.0K | $9.0K | +$0.69 | 53% 1576-1397 (2973) |
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $8.5K | — | $-7.6K | 55% 505-413 (918) |
 arcsine-barristerCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $5.0K | — | $-4.1K | 43% 342-458 (800) |
MA machine-earningCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $4.0K | — | $-3.7K | 45% 626-779 (1405) |
 cryingbabydicer87 | Upavg 99.5¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$6.6 | 49% 1730-1766 (3496) |
AL almach | Upavg 99.3¢ | $1.5K | $1.1K | -$59.74 | 51% 1638-1554 (3192) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 51.5¢ | $324.01 | $628.83 | +$304.82 | 51% 2151-2062 (4213) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 98.1¢ | $745.08 | $556.05 | -$189.03 | 52% 1650-1545 (3195) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 51.4¢ | $528.23 | $487.98 | -$7.77 | 54% 4162-3504 (7666) |
BO bosona | Upavg 93.6¢ | $460.19 | $483.93 | +$23.74 | 51% 4890-4670 (9560) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 81¢ | $371.58 | $374.57 | +$2.99 | 44% 831-1045 (1876) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 71.1¢ | $469.36 | $341.23 | -$128.13 | 47% 1165-1288 (2453) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 70¢ | $377.68 | $349.5 | -$28.19 | 55% 4601-3705 (8306) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 91¢ | $355.98 | $279.99 | -$75.99 | 51% 2506-2369 (4875) |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 85¢ | $290.57 | $275.34 | +$18.17 | 50% 4548-4636 (9184) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 83.8¢ | $235.46 | $251.87 | +$16.41 | 49% 3600-3701 (7301) |
BO BonereaperCTR | Downavg 34.3¢ | $413.26 | — | -$413.26 | 59% 1150-796 (1946) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Upavg 94.2¢ | $141.87 | $145 | +$3.13 | 53% 1026-913 (1939) |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 67.8¢ | $95.87 | $140.37 | +$44.5 | 52% 5172-4852 (10024) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 83.8¢ | $134.18 | $116.9 | -$17.28 | 34% 810-1551 (2361) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212 | Upavg 89.5¢ | $101.09 | $109.78 | +$8.68 | 51% 891-849 (1740) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Upavg 88.9¢ | $53.31 | $60 | +$6.69 | 54% 4666-4039 (8705) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 89.1¢ | $52.31 | $58.7 | +$6.39 | 66% 3908-1973 (5881) |
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b<$100 | Upavg 82.9¢ | $49.05 | $56.29 | +$7.24 | 59% 1076-748 (1824) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 98.2¢ | $50.08 | $51 | +$0.92 | 52% 2997-2745 (5742) |
Invested
$9,005.33
Value
$9.0K
PnL
+$0.69
Record
53%
1576-1397 (2973)
Invested
$8,529
Value
—
PnL
$-7.6K
Record
55%
505-413 (918)
arcsine-barristerCTRInvested
$5,000
Value
—
PnL
$-4.1K
Record
43%
342-458 (800)
Invested
$4,000
Value
—
PnL
$-3.7K
Record
45%
626-779 (1405)
cryingbabydicer87Invested
$1,193.4
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$6.6
Record
49%
1730-1766 (3496)
Invested
$1,511.44
Value
$1.1K
PnL
-$59.74
Record
51%
1638-1554 (3192)
Invested
$324.01
Value
$628.83
PnL
+$304.82
Record
51%
2151-2062 (4213)
Invested
$745.08
Value
$556.05
PnL
-$189.03
Record
52%
1650-1545 (3195)
Invested
$528.23
Value
$487.98
PnL
-$7.77
Record
54%
4162-3504 (7666)
Invested
$460.19
Value
$483.93
PnL
+$23.74
Record
51%
4890-4670 (9560)
Invested
$371.58
Value
$374.57
PnL
+$2.99
Record
44%
831-1045 (1876)
Invested
$469.36
Value
$341.23
PnL
-$128.13
Record
47%
1165-1288 (2453)
Invested
$377.68
Value
$349.5
PnL
-$28.19
Record
55%
4601-3705 (8306)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$355.98
Value
$279.99
PnL
-$75.99
Record
51%
2506-2369 (4875)
Invested
$290.57
Value
$275.34
PnL
+$18.17
Record
50%
4548-4636 (9184)
Invested
$235.46
Value
$251.87
PnL
+$16.41
Record
49%
3600-3701 (7301)
Invested
$413.26
Value
—
PnL
-$413.26
Record
59%
1150-796 (1946)
Invested
$141.87
Value
$145
PnL
+$3.13
Record
53%
1026-913 (1939)
Invested
$95.87
Value
$140.37
PnL
+$44.5
Record
52%
5172-4852 (10024)
Invested
$134.18
Value
$116.9
PnL
-$17.28
Record
34%
810-1551 (2361)
Invested
$101.09
Value
$109.78
PnL
+$8.68
Record
51%
891-849 (1740)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$53.31
Value
$60
PnL
+$6.69
Record
54%
4666-4039 (8705)
Invested
$52.31
Value
$58.7
PnL
+$6.39
Record
66%
3908-1973 (5881)
Invested
$49.05
Value
$56.29
PnL
+$7.24
Record
59%
1076-748 (1824)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$50.08
Value
$51
PnL
+$0.92
Record
52%
2997-2745 (5742)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Up — $9.0K
0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989
CTRDown — $0
arcsine-barrister
CTRDown — $0
machine-earning
CTRDown — $0
cryingbabydicer87
Up — $1.2K
almach
Up — $1.1K
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $628.83
mo-money
Up — $556.05
ByteBadger92
Up — $487.98
bosona
Up — $483.93