Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Resolved Up. 92% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 92%

Total Value

$32.8K

Combined PnL

$1.3K

Smart Money Signal

49 of 53 top traders (92%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%24 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up49 traders

Total Value$32.8K

Total Shares32,763

Combined PnL+$1.4K

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares704

Combined PnL-$88.68

Up — 92%Down — 8%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$9.0K	$9.0K	+$9.03	53% 1518-1369 (2887)
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989	Upavg 50¢	$8.7K	$8.2K	+$17.42	55% 477-387 (864)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Upavg 86.9¢	$1.6K	$1.8K	+$239.81	42% 1925-2669 (4594)
BO bosona	Upavg 87.6¢	$1.7K	$2.0K	+$244.38	51% 4829-4609 (9438)
AL almach	Upavg 89.1¢	$1.7K	$1.9K	+$205.32	52% 1584-1489 (3073)
MO mo-money	Upavg 89.4¢	$1.6K	$1.8K	+$187.56	52% 1584-1490 (3074)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 97.8¢	$1.3K	$1.3K	+$28.93	98% 4234-88 (4322)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 80.6¢	$1.0K	$913.96	+$56.52	59% 1116-760 (1876)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 56.6¢	$603.17	$503.32	+$3.16	54% 3980-3330 (7310)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 80.9¢	$668.52	$500	+$33.74	52% 2413-2270 (4683)
ST stepahead	Upavg 87.4¢	$441.11	$454.06	+$12.95	55% 4545-3668 (8213)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 82.5¢	$295.07	$357.73	+$62.66	48% 1126-1234 (2360)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 92.6¢	$360.85	$350	-$10.85	34% 778-1513 (2291)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 88.7¢	$303.43	$283.02	-$20.41	44% 799-1007 (1806)
GA gansinimen	Upavg 81.7¢	$242.98	$282.68	+$39.7	52% 431-391 (822)
EZ EZTRADENL2	Upavg 89.3¢	$283.47	$266.14	+$16.19	53% 970-876 (1846)
0X 0x280E296e5f14091642208Ac24614826D9902fbd8-1780260958670	Upavg 83.8¢	$224.85	$239	+$14.14	46% 768-894 (1662)
0X 0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894	Upavg 88.8¢	$223.34	$239	+$15.66	51% 844-810 (1654)
MayorMamdani	Upavg 94.5¢	$221.37	$234.37	+$13	52% 2912-2637 (5549)
HS Hsilverbasher	Upavg 93¢	$148.8	$160	+$11.2	50% 390-388 (778)
AS asdaefef	Upavg 91.8¢	$153.33	$155.98	+$4.45	67% 3766-1879 (5645)
OhioRiskManagement	Upavg 92.6¢	$125.58	$135.67	+$10.09	39% 1630-2522 (4152)
pspspsps5	Upavg 92.4¢	$128.32	$138.8	+$10.48	33% 1164-2331 (3495)
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 62.3¢	$119.54	$192	+$72.46	52% 952-862 (1814)
LI Little-big	Upavg 67.1¢	$143.01	$122.98	+$16.47	51% 1073-1021 (2094)

0x50f7

Invested

$8,996.99

Value

$9.0K

PnL

+$9.03

Record

53%

1518-1369 (2887)

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

Invested

$8,715

Value

$8.2K

PnL

+$17.42

Record

55%

477-387 (864)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$1,584.19

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$239.81

Record

42%

1925-2669 (4594)

bosona

Invested

$1,720.35

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$244.38

Record

51%

4829-4609 (9438)

almach

Invested

$1,674.72

Value

$1.9K

PnL

+$205.32

Record

52%

1584-1489 (3073)

mo-money

Invested

$1,575.76

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$187.56

Record

52%

1584-1490 (3074)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,274.07

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$28.93

Record

98%

4234-88 (4322)

Bonereaper

Invested

$1,014.53

Value

$913.96

PnL

+$56.52

Record

59%

1116-760 (1876)

ByteBadger92

Invested

$603.17

Value

$503.32

PnL

+$3.16

Record

54%

3980-3330 (7310)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$668.52

Value

$500

PnL

+$33.74

Record

52%

2413-2270 (4683)

stepahead

Invested

$441.11

Value

$454.06

PnL

+$12.95

Record

55%

4545-3668 (8213)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$295.07

Value

$357.73

PnL

+$62.66

Record

48%

1126-1234 (2360)

ply-pm0

Invested

$360.85

Value

$350

PnL

-$10.85

Record

34%

778-1513 (2291)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$303.43

Value

$283.02

PnL

-$20.41

Record

44%

799-1007 (1806)

gansinimen

Invested

$242.98

Value

$282.68

PnL

+$39.7

Record

52%

431-391 (822)

EZTRADENL2

Invested

$283.47

Value

$266.14

PnL

+$16.19

Record

53%

970-876 (1846)

0x280E296e5f14091642208Ac24614826D9902fbd8-1780260958670

Invested

$224.85

Value

$239

PnL

+$14.14

Record

46%

768-894 (1662)

0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894

Invested

$223.34

Value

$239

PnL

+$15.66

Record

51%

844-810 (1654)

MayorMamdani

Invested

$221.37

Value

$234.37

PnL

+$13

Record

52%

2912-2637 (5549)

Hsilverbasher

Invested

$148.8

Value

$160

PnL

+$11.2

Record

50%

390-388 (778)

asdaefef

Invested

$153.33

Value

$155.98

PnL

+$4.45

Record

67%

3766-1879 (5645)

OhioRiskManagement

Invested

$125.58

Value

$135.67

PnL

+$10.09

Record

39%

1630-2522 (4152)

pspspsps5

Invested

$128.32

Value

$138.8

PnL

+$10.48

Record

33%

1164-2331 (3495)

wzbbb

Invested

$119.54

Value

$192

PnL

+$72.46

Record

52%

952-862 (1814)

Little-big

Invested

$143.01

Value

$122.98

PnL

+$16.47

Record

51%

1073-1021 (2094)

Smart Money Signal

49 of 53 top traders (92%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%24 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x495f0b47...5ab63b

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794733200

Traders in this Market

0x50f7

Up — $9.0K

+$9.03

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

Up — $8.2K

+$17.42

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $1.8K

+$239.81

bosona

Up — $2.0K

+$244.38

almach

Up — $1.9K

+$205.32

mo-money

Up — $1.8K

+$187.56

hoodquant

Up — $1.3K

+$28.93

Bonereaper

Up — $913.96

+$56.52

ByteBadger92

Up — $503.32

+$3.16

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $500

+$33.74

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