Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Resolved Up. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 82%

Total Value

$30.4K

Combined PnL

$-3.7K

Smart Money Signal

49 of 60 top traders (82%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%31 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up49 traders

Total Value$30.4K

Total Shares30,401

Combined PnL-$84.33

Down11 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares4,360

Combined PnL$-3.7K

Up — 82%Down — 18%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989	Upavg 50¢	$8.7K	$7.8K	-$111.72	55% 465-380 (845)
arcsine-barrister	Upavg 50¢	$5.0K	$4.9K	-$6.07	43% 318-426 (744)
TH THG.	Upavg 99¢	$3.5K	$3.5K	+$35	99% 899-7 (906)
MA machine-earningCTR	Downavg 50¢	$4.0K	—	$-3.4K	45% 604-745 (1349)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 77¢	$2.0K	$2.2K	+$124.45	59% 1099-753 (1852)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 99¢	$2.3K	$2.0K	-$340.48	51% 2031-1950 (3981)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 79.9¢	$1.4K	$1.3K	-$46.16	48% 1107-1223 (2330)
BO bosona	Upavg 76.5¢	$767.31	$1.0K	+$232.69	51% 4806-4590 (9396)
SO soswald1	Upavg 50¢	$950	$950	+$0	52% 3660-3421 (7081)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$789.13	$797.1	+$7.97	98% 4160-87 (4247)
machinelearned	Upavg 89¢	$917.32	$621.96	-$295.36	47% 1125-1273 (2398)
ST stepahead	Upavg 71.4¢	$510.93	$536.8	+$25.87	55% 4526-3656 (8182)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 53.1¢	$556.37	$490	-$10.7	54% 3914-3284 (7198)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 76¢	$382.22	$448.78	+$66.56	52% 5102-4793 (9895)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 66¢	$356.81	$381.59	+$24.78	44% 789-994 (1783)
EZ EZTRADENL2	Upavg 88.3¢	$374.74	$376.13	+$1.39	52% 948-867 (1815)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 83.9¢	$317.23	$297.49	-$19.74	34% 765-1503 (2268)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 75.4¢	$461.2	$295.62	+$14.42	51% 2371-2247 (4618)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 62.5¢	$254.72	$289.68	+$34.96	46% 835-987 (1822)
GA gansinimen	Upavg 68.3¢	$220.64	$193.94	-$17.2	52% 422-382 (804)
MO mo-money	Upavg 67¢	$114.87	$171.27	+$56.4	51% 1558-1472 (3030)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530	Upavg 83.4¢	$148.21	$150	+$1.79	48% 2372-2557 (4929)
NIULAI4	Upavg 95¢	$118.75	$125	+$6.25	29% 536-1306 (1842)
BoneOhio	Upavg 82¢	$122.99	$149.99	+$27	70% 1738-741 (2479)
AS asdaefef	Upavg 71.8¢	$96.2	$108.04	+$18.44	67% 3707-1852 (5559)

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

Invested

$8,743

Value

$7.8K

PnL

-$111.72

Record

55%

465-380 (845)

arcsine-barrister

Invested

$5,000

Value

$4.9K

PnL

-$6.07

Record

43%

318-426 (744)

THG.

Invested

$3,465

Value

$3.5K

PnL

+$35

Record

99%

899-7 (906)

machine-earningCTR

Down

Invested

$4,000

Value

—

PnL

$-3.4K

Record

45%

604-745 (1349)

Bonereaper

Invested

$2,037.29

Value

$2.2K

PnL

+$124.45

Record

59%

1099-753 (1852)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$2,340.48

Value

$2.0K

PnL

-$340.48

Record

51%

2031-1950 (3981)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$1,353.27

Value

$1.3K

PnL

-$46.16

Record

48%

1107-1223 (2330)

bosona

Invested

$767.31

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$232.69

Record

51%

4806-4590 (9396)

soswald1

Invested

$950

Value

$950

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

3660-3421 (7081)

hoodquant

Invested

$789.13

Value

$797.1

PnL

+$7.97

Record

98%

4160-87 (4247)

machinelearned

Invested

$917.32

Value

$621.96

PnL

-$295.36

Record

47%

1125-1273 (2398)

stepahead

Invested

$510.93

Value

$536.8

PnL

+$25.87

Record

55%

4526-3656 (8182)

ByteBadger92

Invested

$556.37

Value

$490

PnL

-$10.7

Record

54%

3914-3284 (7198)

blue.birds

Invested

$382.22

Value

$448.78

PnL

+$66.56

Record

52%

5102-4793 (9895)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$356.81

Value

$381.59

PnL

+$24.78

Record

44%

789-994 (1783)

EZTRADENL2

Invested

$374.74

Value

$376.13

PnL

+$1.39

Record

52%

948-867 (1815)

ply-pm0

Invested

$317.23

Value

$297.49

PnL

-$19.74

Record

34%

765-1503 (2268)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$461.2

Value

$295.62

PnL

+$14.42

Record

51%

2371-2247 (4618)

GoodFallen

Invested

$254.72

Value

$289.68

PnL

+$34.96

Record

46%

835-987 (1822)

gansinimen

Invested

$220.64

Value

$193.94

PnL

-$17.2

Record

52%

422-382 (804)

mo-money

Invested

$114.87

Value

$171.27

PnL

+$56.4

Record

51%

1558-1472 (3030)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Invested

$148.21

Value

$150

PnL

+$1.79

Record

48%

2372-2557 (4929)

NIULAI4

Invested

$118.75

Value

$125

PnL

+$6.25

Record

29%

536-1306 (1842)

BoneOhio

Invested

$122.99

Value

$149.99

PnL

+$27

Record

70%

1738-741 (2479)

asdaefef

Invested

$96.2

Value

$108.04

PnL

+$18.44

Record

67%

3707-1852 (5559)

Smart Money Signal

49 of 60 top traders (82%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%31 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x537eb7e1...67e997

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794726900

Traders in this Market

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

Up — $7.8K

-$111.72

arcsine-barrister

Up — $4.9K

-$6.07

THG.

Up — $3.5K

+$35

machine-earning

CTR

Down — $0

$-3.4K

Bonereaper

Up — $2.2K

+$124.45

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $2.0K

-$340.48

CrouchPredictions

Up — $1.3K

-$46.16

bosona

Up — $1.0K

+$232.69

soswald1

Up — $950

+$0

hoodquant

Up — $797.1

+$7.97

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