Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
51
Up 86%
$21.9K
$-8.3K
Smart Money Signal
44 of 51 top traders (86%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%29 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989 | Upavg 50¢ | $9.0K | $8.6K | +$20.61 | 55% 465-380 (845) |
 arcsine-barristerCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $5.0K | — | $-4.8K | 43% 318-426 (744) |
MA machine-earningCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $4.0K | — | $-3.7K | 45% 604-745 (1349) |
TH THG. | Upavg 99¢ | $3.5K | $3.5K | +$35 | 99% 899-7 (906) |
 BoneOhio | Upavg 99¢ | $2.2K | $2.2K | +$22.13 | 70% 1738-741 (2479) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$12.3 | 98% 4160-87 (4247) |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50¢ | $950 | $950 | +$0 | 52% 3660-3421 (7081) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 82¢ | $583.94 | $527.92 | -$56.02 | 48% 1107-1223 (2330) |
AL almach | Upavg 96¢ | $506.31 | $500 | -$6.31 | 52% 1562-1470 (3032) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 52.7¢ | $584.8 | $488.59 | -$1.8 | 54% 3914-3284 (7198) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 96¢ | $486.32 | $500 | +$13.68 | 51% 1558-1472 (3030) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 68.8¢ | $401.99 | $448.85 | +$46.87 | 59% 1099-753 (1852) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 69.2¢ | $342.39 | $392.84 | +$50.45 | 55% 4526-3656 (8182) |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 82.5¢ | $449.27 | $378.59 | +$16.62 | 52% 5102-4793 (9895) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 69.6¢ | $341.62 | $284.07 | -$57.55 | 44% 789-994 (1783) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 89.8¢ | $260.3 | $290 | +$29.7 | 47% 1125-1273 (2398) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 66.8¢ | $201.59 | $229.97 | +$28.38 | 34% 765-1503 (2268) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Upavg 81.1¢ | $199.82 | $228.96 | +$29.14 | 52% 948-867 (1815) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 72.3¢ | $170.16 | $199.99 | +$29.83 | 51% 2371-2247 (4618) |
GO GoodFallenCTR | Downavg 33.1¢ | $173.78 | — | -$173.78 | 46% 835-987 (1822) |
 MayorMamdani | Upavg 90.1¢ | $100.01 | $111 | +$10.99 | 52% 2876-2608 (5484) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 79.6¢ | $47.75 | $60 | +$12.25 | 47% 2283-2527 (4810) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 94¢ | $45.87 | $46 | +$0.13 | 33% 1149-2293 (3442) |
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b<$100 | Upavg 71.6¢ | $46.08 | $57.02 | +$10.95 | 59% 1021-713 (1734) |
 OhioAI<$100 | Upavg 72.4¢ | $53.46 | $51.37 | -$2.09 | 50% 816-807 (1623) |
Invested
$8,985
Value
$8.6K
PnL
+$20.61
Record
55%
465-380 (845)
arcsine-barristerCTRInvested
$5,000
Value
—
PnL
$-4.8K
Record
43%
318-426 (744)
Invested
$4,000
Value
—
PnL
$-3.7K
Record
45%
604-745 (1349)
Invested
$3,465
Value
$3.5K
PnL
+$35
Record
99%
899-7 (906)
BoneOhioInvested
$2,190.48
Value
$2.2K
PnL
+$22.13
Record
70%
1738-741 (2479)
Invested
$1,217.69
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$12.3
Record
98%
4160-87 (4247)
Invested
$950
Value
$950
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
3660-3421 (7081)
Invested
$583.94
Value
$527.92
PnL
-$56.02
Record
48%
1107-1223 (2330)
Invested
$506.31
Value
$500
PnL
-$6.31
Record
52%
1562-1470 (3032)
Invested
$584.8
Value
$488.59
PnL
-$1.8
Record
54%
3914-3284 (7198)
Invested
$486.32
Value
$500
PnL
+$13.68
Record
51%
1558-1472 (3030)
Invested
$401.99
Value
$448.85
PnL
+$46.87
Record
59%
1099-753 (1852)
Invested
$342.39
Value
$392.84
PnL
+$50.45
Record
55%
4526-3656 (8182)
Invested
$449.27
Value
$378.59
PnL
+$16.62
Record
52%
5102-4793 (9895)
Invested
$341.62
Value
$284.07
PnL
-$57.55
Record
44%
789-994 (1783)
machinelearnedInvested
$260.3
Value
$290
PnL
+$29.7
Record
47%
1125-1273 (2398)
Invested
$201.59
Value
$229.97
PnL
+$28.38
Record
34%
765-1503 (2268)
Invested
$199.82
Value
$228.96
PnL
+$29.14
Record
52%
948-867 (1815)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$170.16
Value
$199.99
PnL
+$29.83
Record
51%
2371-2247 (4618)
Invested
$173.78
Value
—
PnL
-$173.78
Record
46%
835-987 (1822)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$100.01
Value
$111
PnL
+$10.99
Record
52%
2876-2608 (5484)
ohioism<$100Invested
$47.75
Value
$60
PnL
+$12.25
Record
47%
2283-2527 (4810)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$45.87
Value
$46
PnL
+$0.13
Record
33%
1149-2293 (3442)
Invested
$46.08
Value
$57.02
PnL
+$10.95
Record
59%
1021-713 (1734)
OhioAI<$100Invested
$53.46
Value
$51.37
PnL
-$2.09
Record
50%
816-807 (1623)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989
Up — $8.6K
arcsine-barrister
CTRDown — $0
machine-earning
CTRDown — $0
THG.
Up — $3.5K
BoneOhio
Up — $2.2K
hoodquant
Up — $1.2K
soswald1
Up — $950
CrouchPredictions
Up — $527.92
almach
Up — $500
ByteBadger92
Up — $488.59