Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Resolved Up. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 89%

Total Value

$27.9K

Combined PnL

$1.0K

Smart Money Signal

39 of 44 top traders (89%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%24 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up39 traders

Total Value$27.9K

Total Shares27,902

Combined PnL+$1.1K

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares100

Combined PnL-$30.19

Up — 89%Down — 11%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989	Upavg 50¢	$8.6K	$8.3K	+$67.93	55% 465-380 (845)
arcsine-barrister	Upavg 50¢	$5.0K	$5.0K	+$12.35	43% 318-426 (744)
MA machine-earning	Upavg 50¢	$4.0K	$3.9K	+$111.9	45% 604-745 (1349)
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$3.0K	$3.0K	+$3.01	52% 1489-1357 (2846)
AL almach	Upavg 88.8¢	$851.62	$959.3	+$107.67	52% 1562-1470 (3032)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.1¢	$746.54	$761	+$14.46	98% 4160-87 (4247)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 71.2¢	$705.35	$683.15	+$25.7	59% 1099-753 (1852)
machinelearned	Upavg 79.5¢	$636	$800	+$164	47% 1125-1273 (2398)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 85.2¢	$526.87	$586.59	+$59.73	48% 1107-1223 (2330)
BO bosona	Upavg 79.1¢	$535.6	$677.35	+$141.75	51% 4806-4590 (9396)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 52¢	$542.69	$495.78	+$6.07	54% 3914-3284 (7198)
MO mo-money	Upavg 82¢	$410	$500	+$90	51% 1558-1472 (3030)
ST stepahead	Upavg 68.5¢	$313.47	$383.36	+$69.9	55% 4526-3656 (8182)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 79.2¢	$250.16	$270.84	+$20.68	52% 5102-4793 (9895)
EZ EZTRADENL2	Upavg 88.1¢	$158.33	$171.66	+$13.33	52% 948-867 (1815)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 83.3¢	$141.9	$139	-$2.9	51% 2371-2247 (4618)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 74.5¢	$124.1	$143.45	+$19.35	34% 765-1503 (2268)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 83.5¢	$132.13	$142.1	+$9.97	44% 789-994 (1783)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 90.7¢	$81.62	$90	+$8.38	39% 1607-2488 (4095)
GA gansinimen	Upavg 86¢	$86	$100	+$14	52% 422-382 (804)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 52¢	$76.44	$147	+$70.56	51% 2031-1950 (3981)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 83¢	$69.3	$70	+$1.72	62% 4354-2613 (6967)
pspspsps5<$100	Upavg 94.1¢	$67.7	$71.93	+$4.23	33% 1149-2293 (3442)
GO GoodFallen<$100	Upavg 84.5¢	$65.66	$60	-$5.66	46% 835-987 (1822)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 95.5¢	$48.72	$51	+$2.28	52% 2876-2608 (5484)

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

Invested

$8,559

Value

$8.3K

PnL

+$67.93

Record

55%

465-380 (845)

arcsine-barrister

Invested

$5,000

Value

$5.0K

PnL

+$12.35

Record

43%

318-426 (744)

machine-earning

Invested

$4,000

Value

$3.9K

PnL

+$111.9

Record

45%

604-745 (1349)

0x50f7

Invested

$3,005

Value

$3.0K

PnL

+$3.01

Record

52%

1489-1357 (2846)

almach

Invested

$851.62

Value

$959.3

PnL

+$107.67

Record

52%

1562-1470 (3032)

hoodquant

Invested

$746.54

Value

$761

PnL

+$14.46

Record

98%

4160-87 (4247)

Bonereaper

Invested

$705.35

Value

$683.15

PnL

+$25.7

Record

59%

1099-753 (1852)

machinelearned

Invested

$636

Value

$800

PnL

+$164

Record

47%

1125-1273 (2398)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$526.87

Value

$586.59

PnL

+$59.73

Record

48%

1107-1223 (2330)

bosona

Invested

$535.6

Value

$677.35

PnL

+$141.75

Record

51%

4806-4590 (9396)

ByteBadger92

Invested

$542.69

Value

$495.78

PnL

+$6.07

Record

54%

3914-3284 (7198)

mo-money

Invested

$410

Value

$500

PnL

+$90

Record

51%

1558-1472 (3030)

stepahead

Invested

$313.47

Value

$383.36

PnL

+$69.9

Record

55%

4526-3656 (8182)

blue.birds

Invested

$250.16

Value

$270.84

PnL

+$20.68

Record

52%

5102-4793 (9895)

EZTRADENL2

Invested

$158.33

Value

$171.66

PnL

+$13.33

Record

52%

948-867 (1815)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$141.9

Value

$139

PnL

-$2.9

Record

51%

2371-2247 (4618)

ply-pm0

Invested

$124.1

Value

$143.45

PnL

+$19.35

Record

34%

765-1503 (2268)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$132.13

Value

$142.1

PnL

+$9.97

Record

44%

789-994 (1783)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$81.62

Value

$90

PnL

+$8.38

Record

39%

1607-2488 (4095)

gansinimen

Invested

$86

Value

$100

PnL

+$14

Record

52%

422-382 (804)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$76.44

Value

$147

PnL

+$70.56

Record

51%

2031-1950 (3981)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$69.3

Value

$70

PnL

+$1.72

Record

62%

4354-2613 (6967)

pspspsps5<$100

Invested

$67.7

Value

$71.93

PnL

+$4.23

Record

33%

1149-2293 (3442)

GoodFallen<$100

Invested

$65.66

Value

$60

PnL

-$5.66

Record

46%

835-987 (1822)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$48.72

Value

$51

PnL

+$2.28

Record

52%

2876-2608 (5484)

Smart Money Signal

39 of 44 top traders (89%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%24 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xc9981be9...97beee

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794725700

Traders in this Market

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

Up — $8.3K

+$67.93

arcsine-barrister

Up — $5.0K

+$12.35

machine-earning

Up — $3.9K

+$111.9

0x50f7

Up — $3.0K

+$3.01

almach

Up — $959.3

+$107.67

hoodquant

Up — $761

+$14.46

Bonereaper

Up — $683.15

+$25.7

machinelearned

Up — $800

+$164

CrouchPredictions

Up — $586.59

+$59.73

bosona

Up — $677.35

+$141.75

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