Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 81% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
54
Up 81%
$8.0K
$-8.3K
Smart Money Signal
44 of 54 top traders (81%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%34 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 arcsine-barristerCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $5.0K | — | $-4.9K | 43% 302-406 (708) |
MA machine-earningCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $4.0K | — | $-3.8K | 45% 587-726 (1313) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.9¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$11.51 | 98% 4049-84 (4133) |
TH THG. | Upavg 99¢ | $931.64 | $941.05 | +$9.41 | 99% 882-7 (889) |
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $694.54 | $695.24 | +$0.7 | 52% 1462-1344 (2806) |
BO bosona | Upavg 92.3¢ | $627.03 | $679.03 | +$51.99 | 51% 4768-4559 (9327) |
AL almach | Upavg 91¢ | $501.56 | $550.94 | +$49.38 | 52% 1527-1435 (2962) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50.9¢ | $535.52 | $501.03 | +$6.14 | 54% 3808-3199 (7007) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 70.1¢ | $446.99 | $386.75 | -$60.23 | 59% 1080-736 (1816) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 76.2¢ | $303.34 | $393.9 | +$90.56 | 48% 1087-1196 (2283) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 71.9¢ | $314.9 | $334.15 | +$19.25 | 44% 773-974 (1747) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 66.1¢ | $240.34 | $302.78 | +$62.43 | 55% 4495-3639 (8134) |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 78.8¢ | $315.38 | $310.08 | -$5.3 | 52% 5083-4768 (9851) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 71.7¢ | $185.15 | $211.18 | +$26.03 | 52% 916-840 (1756) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 77.1¢ | $151.49 | $196.42 | +$44.93 | 47% 1104-1263 (2367) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 50.4¢ | $168.39 | $185.03 | +$16.64 | 51% 2323-2193 (4516) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 65.2¢ | $78.11 | $115.97 | +$37.86 | 33% 745-1487 (2232) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 83.1¢ | $112.89 | $105.1 | -$7.79 | 46% 824-962 (1786) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR | Downavg 17¢ | $134.12 | — | -$108.84 | 50% 3372-3320 (6692) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Upavg 82.4¢ | $69.17 | $83.95 | +$14.79 | 51% 1517-1445 (2962) |
GA gansinimen | Upavg 76¢ | $76 | $100 | +$24 | 53% 407-366 (773) |
 OhioAI<$100 | Upavg 65¢ | $64 | $80.98 | +$16.97 | 50% 799-788 (1587) |
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100 | Upavg 76.9¢ | $70.87 | $73.69 | +$2.82 | 52% 920-847 (1767) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 99.2¢ | $55.55 | $56 | +$0.45 | 52% 2831-2570 (5401) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 53.4¢ | $37.95 | $71.08 | +$33.13 | 49% 1381-1459 (2840) |
arcsine-barristerCTRInvested
$5,000
Value
—
PnL
$-4.9K
Record
43%
302-406 (708)
Invested
$4,000
Value
—
PnL
$-3.8K
Record
45%
587-726 (1313)
Invested
$1,063.49
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$11.51
Record
98%
4049-84 (4133)
Invested
$931.64
Value
$941.05
PnL
+$9.41
Record
99%
882-7 (889)
Invested
$694.54
Value
$695.24
PnL
+$0.7
Record
52%
1462-1344 (2806)
Invested
$627.03
Value
$679.03
PnL
+$51.99
Record
51%
4768-4559 (9327)
Invested
$501.56
Value
$550.94
PnL
+$49.38
Record
52%
1527-1435 (2962)
Invested
$535.52
Value
$501.03
PnL
+$6.14
Record
54%
3808-3199 (7007)
Invested
$446.99
Value
$386.75
PnL
-$60.23
Record
59%
1080-736 (1816)
Invested
$303.34
Value
$393.9
PnL
+$90.56
Record
48%
1087-1196 (2283)
Invested
$314.9
Value
$334.15
PnL
+$19.25
Record
44%
773-974 (1747)
Invested
$240.34
Value
$302.78
PnL
+$62.43
Record
55%
4495-3639 (8134)
Invested
$315.38
Value
$310.08
PnL
-$5.3
Record
52%
5083-4768 (9851)
Invested
$185.15
Value
$211.18
PnL
+$26.03
Record
52%
916-840 (1756)
machinelearnedInvested
$151.49
Value
$196.42
PnL
+$44.93
Record
47%
1104-1263 (2367)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$168.39
Value
$185.03
PnL
+$16.64
Record
51%
2323-2193 (4516)
Invested
$78.11
Value
$115.97
PnL
+$37.86
Record
33%
745-1487 (2232)
Invested
$112.89
Value
$105.1
PnL
-$7.79
Record
46%
824-962 (1786)
Invested
$134.12
Value
—
PnL
-$108.84
Record
50%
3372-3320 (6692)
Invested
$69.17
Value
$83.95
PnL
+$14.79
Record
51%
1517-1445 (2962)
Invested
$76
Value
$100
PnL
+$24
Record
53%
407-366 (773)
OhioAI<$100Invested
$64
Value
$80.98
PnL
+$16.97
Record
50%
799-788 (1587)
Invested
$70.87
Value
$73.69
PnL
+$2.82
Record
52%
920-847 (1767)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$55.55
Value
$56
PnL
+$0.45
Record
52%
2831-2570 (5401)
Invested
$37.95
Value
$71.08
PnL
+$33.13
Record
49%
1381-1459 (2840)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
arcsine-barrister
CTRDown — $0
machine-earning
CTRDown — $0
hoodquant
Up — $1.1K
THG.
Up — $941.05
0x50f7
Up — $695.24
bosona
Up — $679.03
almach
Up — $550.94
ByteBadger92
Up — $501.03
Bonereaper
Up — $386.75
CrouchPredictions
Up — $393.9