Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Resolved Up. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 77%

Total Value

$23.3K

Combined PnL

$898.06

Smart Money Signal

44 of 57 top traders (77%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%32 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up44 traders

Total Value$23.3K

Total Shares23,348

Combined PnL+$1.1K

Down13 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares708

Combined PnL-$201.91

Up — 77%Down — 23%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
arcsine-barrister	Upavg 50¢	$5.0K	$4.8K	-$27.9	43% 295-395 (690)
MA machine-earning	Upavg 50¢	$4.0K	$3.9K	+$68.37	45% 579-713 (1292)
UN uninformedfloww	Upavg 71.9¢	$1.6K	$1.7K	+$165.63	49% 2374-2443 (4817)
BO bosona	Upavg 79.9¢	$1.1K	$1.4K	+$267.92	51% 4740-4541 (9281)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 74.3¢	$1.3K	$1.2K	-$27.42	60% 1066-725 (1791)
MO mo-money	Upavg 77.8¢	$1.1K	$1.2K	+$234.73	51% 1487-1429 (2916)
AL almach	Upavg 80.3¢	$805.38	$993.2	+$187.82	51% 1492-1421 (2913)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 75.1¢	$851.83	$890.16	+$38.66	47% 1068-1182 (2250)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 79.4¢	$831.56	$815.15	-$11.7	52% 5063-4757 (9820)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$761.81	$769.51	+$7.7	98% 3966-84 (4050)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 74.8¢	$746.05	$697.78	-$48.26	44% 757-965 (1722)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 83.9¢	$569.51	$509.09	-$60.42	52% 2296-2150 (4446)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 57.6¢	$644.07	$497.46	+$3.68	54% 3731-3151 (6882)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 75.2¢	$437.09	$451.18	+$14.09	46% 812-949 (1761)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 75.1¢	$410.84	$392.79	-$18.06	51% 3321-3240 (6561)
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 68.3¢	$279.62	$339.66	+$60.04	52% 901-828 (1729)
FairValueMachine	Upavg 75.7¢	$304.23	$321.88	+$17.65	54% 4581-3974 (8555)
ST stepahead	Upavg 58.6¢	$242.57	$277.84	+$35.27	55% 4474-3627 (8101)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 87.2¢	$293.84	$250.16	+$27.89	33% 730-1477 (2207)
GA gansinimen	Upavg 78.3¢	$223.54	$221.75	-$1.79	52% 392-358 (750)
G-Penis-Monster	Upavg 75.3¢	$173	$180.99	+$7.98	44% 2183-2822 (5005)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025	Upavg 80.3¢	$147.5	$156.14	+$9.58	47% 2283-2545 (4828)
0X 0x3708CEF9f92678DF15A0473e36c45d68A16cdAf9-1780222715877	Upavg 72.9¢	$116.09	$112.47	-$3.62	48% 752-813 (1565)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530	Upavg 89.5¢	$100.52	$107.54	+$7.02	48% 2261-2474 (4735)
BoneOhio	Upavg 96¢	$96	$100	+$4	70% 1672-705 (2377)

arcsine-barrister

Invested

$5,000

Value

$4.8K

PnL

-$27.9

Record

43%

295-395 (690)

machine-earning

Invested

$4,000

Value

$3.9K

PnL

+$68.37

Record

45%

579-713 (1292)

uninformedfloww

Invested

$1,574.09

Value

$1.7K

PnL

+$165.63

Record

49%

2374-2443 (4817)

bosona

Invested

$1,134.18

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$267.92

Record

51%

4740-4541 (9281)

Bonereaper

Invested

$1,277.89

Value

$1.2K

PnL

-$27.42

Record

60%

1066-725 (1791)

mo-money

Invested

$1,052.78

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$234.73

Record

51%

1487-1429 (2916)

almach

Invested

$805.38

Value

$993.2

PnL

+$187.82

Record

51%

1492-1421 (2913)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$851.83

Value

$890.16

PnL

+$38.66

Record

47%

1068-1182 (2250)

blue.birds

Invested

$831.56

Value

$815.15

PnL

-$11.7

Record

52%

5063-4757 (9820)

hoodquant

Invested

$761.81

Value

$769.51

PnL

+$7.7

Record

98%

3966-84 (4050)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$746.05

Value

$697.78

PnL

-$48.26

Record

44%

757-965 (1722)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$569.51

Value

$509.09

PnL

-$60.42

Record

52%

2296-2150 (4446)

ByteBadger92

Invested

$644.07

Value

$497.46

PnL

+$3.68

Record

54%

3731-3151 (6882)

GoodFallen

Invested

$437.09

Value

$451.18

PnL

+$14.09

Record

46%

812-949 (1761)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$410.84

Value

$392.79

PnL

-$18.06

Record

51%

3321-3240 (6561)

wzbbb

Invested

$279.62

Value

$339.66

PnL

+$60.04

Record

52%

901-828 (1729)

FairValueMachine

Invested

$304.23

Value

$321.88

PnL

+$17.65

Record

54%

4581-3974 (8555)

stepahead

Invested

$242.57

Value

$277.84

PnL

+$35.27

Record

55%

4474-3627 (8101)

ply-pm0

Invested

$293.84

Value

$250.16

PnL

+$27.89

Record

33%

730-1477 (2207)

gansinimen

Invested

$223.54

Value

$221.75

PnL

-$1.79

Record

52%

392-358 (750)

G-Penis-Monster

Invested

$173

Value

$180.99

PnL

+$7.98

Record

44%

2183-2822 (5005)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Invested

$147.5

Value

$156.14

PnL

+$9.58

Record

47%

2283-2545 (4828)

0x3708CEF9f92678DF15A0473e36c45d68A16cdAf9-1780222715877

Invested

$116.09

Value

$112.47

PnL

-$3.62

Record

48%

752-813 (1565)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Invested

$100.52

Value

$107.54

PnL

+$7.02

Record

48%

2261-2474 (4735)

BoneOhio

Invested

$96

Value

$100

PnL

+$4

Record

70%

1672-705 (2377)

Smart Money Signal

44 of 57 top traders (77%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%32 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xf3ca1f6f...3335e1

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794710100

Traders in this Market

arcsine-barrister

Up — $4.8K

-$27.9

machine-earning

Up — $3.9K

+$68.37

uninformedfloww

Up — $1.7K

+$165.63

bosona

Up — $1.4K

+$267.92

Bonereaper

Up — $1.2K

-$27.42

mo-money

Up — $1.2K

+$234.73

almach

Up — $993.2

+$187.82

CrouchPredictions

Up — $890.16

+$38.66

blue.birds

Up — $815.15

-$11.7

hoodquant

Up — $769.51

+$7.7

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