Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Resolved Up. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 78%

Total Value

$22.6K

Combined PnL

$-12.2K

Smart Money Signal

43 of 55 top traders (78%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%33 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down12 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares15,062

Combined PnL$-13.9K

Up43 traders

Total Value$22.6K

Total Shares22,574

Combined PnL+$1.6K

Down — 22%Up — 78%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989CTR	Downavg 50¢	$8.9K	—	$-8.7K	55% 445-362 (807)
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$6.0K	$6.0K	+$6.04	52% 1439-1341 (2780)
arcsine-barristerCTR	Downavg 50¢	$5.0K	—	$-4.8K	43% 295-395 (690)
MA machine-earning	Upavg 50¢	$4.0K	$3.9K	+$102.13	45% 579-713 (1292)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Upavg 90.1¢	$1.6K	$1.8K	+$180.47	42% 1805-2456 (4261)
BO bosona	Upavg 81.8¢	$1.5K	$1.8K	+$324.85	51% 4740-4541 (9281)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.8¢	$1.3K	$1.3K	+$15.57	98% 3966-84 (4050)
AL almach	Upavg 83.7¢	$1.2K	$1.4K	+$224.79	51% 1492-1421 (2913)
MO mo-money	Upavg 72.3¢	$798.52	$1.1K	+$275.19	51% 1487-1429 (2916)
SO soswald1	Upavg 50¢	$950	$950	+$1.7	52% 3555-3314 (6869)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 74.4¢	$493.62	$663.84	+$170.22	47% 1068-1182 (2250)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 52.3¢	$566.15	$491.67	+$5.91	54% 3731-3151 (6882)
ST stepahead	Upavg 63.9¢	$399.92	$437.38	+$37.45	55% 4474-3627 (8101)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 85.1¢	$419.77	$370.17	-$49.6	52% 2296-2150 (4446)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 85.6¢	$355.14	$284.17	-$68.64	44% 757-965 (1722)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 78.1¢	$235.35	$260.27	+$24.92	51% 3321-3240 (6561)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 74.6¢	$212.48	$233.02	+$23.68	46% 812-949 (1761)
PB PBot-6	Upavg 46.2¢	$140.5	$250	+$109.5	50% 852-864 (1716)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 79.5¢	$176.09	$139.6	+$6.87	52% 5063-4757 (9820)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025	Upavg 89¢	$89	$100	+$11	47% 2283-2545 (4828)
GA gansinimen	Upavg 79.2¢	$99.05	$125.03	+$25.98	52% 392-358 (750)
pspspsps5<$100	Upavg 94.3¢	$92.4	$98	+$5.6	33% 1106-2226 (3332)
PB PBot-5<$100	Upavg 46.8¢	$41.43	$88.58	+$47.15	48% 1343-1431 (2774)
AL Alpharo28<$100	Upavg 61.3¢	$55.31	$90.24	+$34.93	57% 334-257 (591)
PL ply-pm0<$100	Upavg 86.8¢	$73.7	$78.55	+$4.85	33% 730-1477 (2207)

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989CTR

Down

Invested

$8,898

Value

—

PnL

$-8.7K

Record

55%

445-362 (807)

0x50f7

Invested

$6,036.24

Value

$6.0K

PnL

+$6.04

Record

52%

1439-1341 (2780)

arcsine-barristerCTR

Down

Invested

$5,000

Value

—

PnL

$-4.8K

Record

43%

295-395 (690)

machine-earning

Invested

$4,000

Value

$3.9K

PnL

+$102.13

Record

45%

579-713 (1292)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$1,643.53

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$180.47

Record

42%

1805-2456 (4261)

bosona

Invested

$1,463.67

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$324.85

Record

51%

4740-4541 (9281)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,310.72

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$15.57

Record

98%

3966-84 (4050)

almach

Invested

$1,157.13

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$224.79

Record

51%

1492-1421 (2913)

mo-money

Invested

$798.52

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$275.19

Record

51%

1487-1429 (2916)

soswald1

Invested

$950

Value

$950

PnL

+$1.7

Record

52%

3555-3314 (6869)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$493.62

Value

$663.84

PnL

+$170.22

Record

47%

1068-1182 (2250)

ByteBadger92

Invested

$566.15

Value

$491.67

PnL

+$5.91

Record

54%

3731-3151 (6882)

stepahead

Invested

$399.92

Value

$437.38

PnL

+$37.45

Record

55%

4474-3627 (8101)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$419.77

Value

$370.17

PnL

-$49.6

Record

52%

2296-2150 (4446)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$355.14

Value

$284.17

PnL

-$68.64

Record

44%

757-965 (1722)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$235.35

Value

$260.27

PnL

+$24.92

Record

51%

3321-3240 (6561)

GoodFallen

Invested

$212.48

Value

$233.02

PnL

+$23.68

Record

46%

812-949 (1761)

PBot-6

Invested

$140.5

Value

$250

PnL

+$109.5

Record

50%

852-864 (1716)

blue.birds

Invested

$176.09

Value

$139.6

PnL

+$6.87

Record

52%

5063-4757 (9820)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Invested

$89

Value

$100

PnL

+$11

Record

47%

2283-2545 (4828)

gansinimen

Invested

$99.05

Value

$125.03

PnL

+$25.98

Record

52%

392-358 (750)

pspspsps5<$100

Invested

$92.4

Value

$98

PnL

+$5.6

Record

33%

1106-2226 (3332)

PBot-5<$100

Invested

$41.43

Value

$88.58

PnL

+$47.15

Record

48%

1343-1431 (2774)

Alpharo28<$100

Invested

$55.31

Value

$90.24

PnL

+$34.93

Record

57%

334-257 (591)

ply-pm0<$100

Invested

$73.7

Value

$78.55

PnL

+$4.85

Record

33%

730-1477 (2207)

Smart Money Signal

43 of 55 top traders (78%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%33 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x0f5b6b9c...1ec659

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794708300

Traders in this Market

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

CTR

Down — $0

$-8.7K

0x50f7

Up — $6.0K

+$6.04

arcsine-barrister

CTR

Down — $0

$-4.8K

machine-earning

Up — $3.9K

+$102.13

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $1.8K

+$180.47

bosona

Up — $1.8K

+$324.85

hoodquant

Up — $1.3K

+$15.57

almach

Up — $1.4K

+$224.79

mo-money

Up — $1.1K

+$275.19

soswald1

Up — $950

+$1.7

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