Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 73%

Total Value

$25.3K

Combined PnL

$-2.3K

Smart Money Signal

46 of 63 top traders (73%)17 hold an outcome priced under 50%33 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up46 traders

Total Value$25.3K

Total Shares25,314

Combined PnL-$302.17

Down17 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares5,226

Combined PnL$-2.0K

Up — 73%Down — 27%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
arcsine-barrister	Upavg 50¢	$5.0K	$5.0K	+$39.27	43% 289-389 (678)
MA machine-earning	Upavg 50¢	$4.0K	$3.7K	+$76.21	45% 570-710 (1280)
TH THG.	Upavg 99¢	$3.5K	$3.5K	+$35	99% 859-7 (866)
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99¢	$2.6K	$2.6K	+$26.12	52% 1431-1332 (2763)
UN uninformedfloww	Upavg 68.3¢	$1.5K	$1.4K	-$63.19	49% 2352-2415 (4767)
BO BonereaperCTR	Downavg 42.9¢	$1.2K	—	$-1.2K	59% 1055-721 (1776)
SO soswald1	Upavg 50¢	$950	$950	+$23.9	52% 3521-3295 (6816)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 63.8¢	$796.03	$872.4	+$77.91	47% 1054-1177 (2231)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 65.7¢	$912.72	$843.66	-$69.06	44% 751-957 (1708)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$740.77	$748.25	+$7.48	98% 3919-84 (4003)
ST stepahead	Upavg 71¢	$655.43	$657.23	+$1.8	55% 4461-3621 (8082)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 59.5¢	$541.49	$617.02	+$99.87	52% 2275-2131 (4406)
AL almach	Upavg 90.4¢	$1.2K	$580.04	-$100.86	51% 1479-1409 (2888)
MO mo-money	Upavg 89.6¢	$1.0K	$499.99	-$160.64	51% 1473-1419 (2892)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 54.7¢	$662.3	$483.02	+$8.56	54% 3695-3113 (6808)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 69¢	$463.88	$389.22	-$68.32	46% 807-940 (1747)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 65.9¢	$377	$292.65	-$84.35	52% 5054-4750 (9804)
WZ wzbbbCTR	Downavg 46.4¢	$389.58	—	-$300.97	52% 891-824 (1715)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 75.1¢	$355.93	$239	-$116.93	51% 1955-1898 (3853)
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335	Upavg 79.3¢	$203.87	$190.92	-$12.95	50% 795-781 (1576)
OhioRiskManagement	Upavg 97.5¢	$183.68	$188.44	+$4.76	39% 1501-2385 (3886)
0X 0x3708CEF9f92678DF15A0473e36c45d68A16cdAf9-1780222715877	Upavg 62.6¢	$117.91	$135.92	+$18	48% 745-807 (1552)
FairValueMachine	Upavg 56.2¢	$104.83	$138.38	+$33.56	54% 4574-3968 (8542)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 65.2¢	$130.7	$131.49	+$0.79	51% 3277-3198 (6475)
0X 0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894	Upavg 83.3¢	$157.58	$126	-$31.58	51% 798-768 (1566)

arcsine-barrister

Invested

$5,000

Value

$5.0K

PnL

+$39.27

Record

43%

289-389 (678)

machine-earning

Invested

$4,000

Value

$3.7K

PnL

+$76.21

Record

45%

570-710 (1280)

THG.

Invested

$3,465

Value

$3.5K

PnL

+$35

Record

99%

859-7 (866)

0x50f7

Invested

$2,585.46

Value

$2.6K

PnL

+$26.12

Record

52%

1431-1332 (2763)

uninformedfloww

Invested

$1,507.47

Value

$1.4K

PnL

-$63.19

Record

49%

2352-2415 (4767)

BonereaperCTR

Down

Invested

$1,194.25

Value

—

PnL

$-1.2K

Record

59%

1055-721 (1776)

soswald1

Invested

$950

Value

$950

PnL

+$23.9

Record

52%

3521-3295 (6816)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$796.03

Value

$872.4

PnL

+$77.91

Record

47%

1054-1177 (2231)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$912.72

Value

$843.66

PnL

-$69.06

Record

44%

751-957 (1708)

hoodquant

Invested

$740.77

Value

$748.25

PnL

+$7.48

Record

98%

3919-84 (4003)

stepahead

Invested

$655.43

Value

$657.23

PnL

+$1.8

Record

55%

4461-3621 (8082)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$541.49

Value

$617.02

PnL

+$99.87

Record

52%

2275-2131 (4406)

almach

Invested

$1,151.84

Value

$580.04

PnL

-$100.86

Record

51%

1479-1409 (2888)

mo-money

Invested

$1,029.1

Value

$499.99

PnL

-$160.64

Record

51%

1473-1419 (2892)

ByteBadger92

Invested

$662.3

Value

$483.02

PnL

+$8.56

Record

54%

3695-3113 (6808)

GoodFallen

Invested

$463.88

Value

$389.22

PnL

-$68.32

Record

46%

807-940 (1747)

blue.birds

Invested

$377

Value

$292.65

PnL

-$84.35

Record

52%

5054-4750 (9804)

wzbbbCTR

Down

Invested

$389.58

Value

—

PnL

-$300.97

Record

52%

891-824 (1715)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$355.93

Value

$239

PnL

-$116.93

Record

51%

1955-1898 (3853)

0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335

Invested

$203.87

Value

$190.92

PnL

-$12.95

Record

50%

795-781 (1576)

OhioRiskManagement

Invested

$183.68

Value

$188.44

PnL

+$4.76

Record

39%

1501-2385 (3886)

0x3708CEF9f92678DF15A0473e36c45d68A16cdAf9-1780222715877

Invested

$117.91

Value

$135.92

PnL

+$18

Record

48%

745-807 (1552)

FairValueMachine

Invested

$104.83

Value

$138.38

PnL

+$33.56

Record

54%

4574-3968 (8542)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$130.7

Value

$131.49

PnL

+$0.79

Record

51%

3277-3198 (6475)

0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894

Invested

$157.58

Value

$126

PnL

-$31.58

Record

51%

798-768 (1566)

Smart Money Signal

46 of 63 top traders (73%)17 hold an outcome priced under 50%33 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xff18daf0...55bb0f

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794705000

Traders in this Market

arcsine-barrister

Up — $5.0K

+$39.27

machine-earning

Up — $3.7K

+$76.21

THG.

Up — $3.5K

+$35

0x50f7

Up — $2.6K

+$26.12

uninformedfloww

Up — $1.4K

-$63.19

Bonereaper

CTR

Down — $0

$-1.2K

soswald1

Up — $950

+$23.9

CrouchPredictions

Up — $872.4

+$77.91

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $843.66

-$69.06

hoodquant

Up — $748.25

+$7.48

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